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What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Market icon

What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

$30,465 Vol.

Oct 16, 2025
Polymarket

$30,465 Vol.

Polymarket

New York / New Yorker 30+ times

$3,567 Vol.

Yes

Affordability / Affordable 20+ times

$1,666 Vol.

No

Trump 20+ times

$1,904 Vol.

Yes

Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times

$1,950 Vol.

Yes

Immigrant 8+ times

$1,687 Vol.

No

Tariff 5+ times

$476 Vol.

No

National Guard 4+ times

$144 Vol.

Yes

Public transport 3+ times

$1,889 Vol.

No

War Crime / War Criminal

$380 Vol.

No

Oligarchy / Wall Street

$169 Vol.

No

Rent Control / Rent Controlled

$357 Vol.

No

LGBTQ / Transgender

$235 Vol.

No

Sexual / Harassment

$417 Vol.

Yes

Sanctuary city / Hottest city

$148 Vol.

No

Charlie / Kirk

$836 Vol.

No

Uganda / Venezuela

$610 Vol.

Yes

Defund / Defunding

$276 Vol.

Yes

Rikers / Manhattan

$105 Vol.

Yes

Cat / PETA

$16 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$96 Vol.

No

Crypto / DOGE

$13,536 Vol.

No

The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.

The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.
Volume
$30,465
End Date
Oct 16, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 14, 2025, 8:40 PM ET
The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.

The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.
Volume
$30,465
End Date
Oct 16, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 14, 2025, 8:40 PM ET
The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York / New Yorker 30+ times" at 100%, followed by "Trump 20+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?" has generated $30.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?" is "New York / New Yorker 30+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump 20+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be said at 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.