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Politics·South Korea

Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·South Korea

Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Kim Doo-kyum

Kim Doo-kyum

$1,805 Vol.

51%

icon for Kim Sang-wook

Kim Sang-wook

$125 Vol.

50%

The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his lead in the latest April 17 poll showing 38.9% support in a five-way race versus incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum's 29.2%, with head-to-head margins favoring Kim Sang-wook by over 11 points amid vote-splitting by Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hun and independents like Park Maeng-woo. Kim Sang-wook's recent defection from PPP broadens his appeal in conservative-leaning industrial Ulsan, capitalizing on anti-incumbent sentiment. Incumbent Kim Doo-kyum plans early resignation on April 29 to refocus campaigning, while opposition unification talks persist as a potential volatility factor ahead of the first-past-the-post vote.

The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$1,930
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his lead in the latest April 17 poll showing 38.9% support in a five-way race versus incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum's 29.2%, with head-to-head margins favoring Kim Sang-wook by over 11 points amid vote-splitting by Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hun and independents like Park Maeng-woo. Kim Sang-wook's recent defection from PPP broadens his appeal in conservative-leaning industrial Ulsan, capitalizing on anti-incumbent sentiment. Incumbent Kim Doo-kyum plans early resignation on April 29 to refocus campaigning, while opposition unification talks persist as a potential volatility factor ahead of the first-past-the-post vote.

The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$1,930
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kim Doo-kyum" at 51%, followed by "Kim Sang-wook" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner" is "Kim Doo-kyum" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kim Sang-wook" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.