A cluster of midfield enforcers and defenders—Declan Rice and Martín Zubimendi of Arsenal, Álvaro Fernández Carreras of Real Madrid, and Konrad Laimer of Bayern München—share identical four yellow cards apiece entering the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals, fueling trader consensus around 47–49% implied probabilities and keeping the most cards race razor-tight. Recent round-of-16 action saw Zubimendi booked against Bayer Leverkusen on March 11, while Arsenal's midfield trio (including Mikel Merino at three cards) continues aggressive pressing styles prone to fouls amid high-stakes knockouts. Bayern's Laimer and Kim Min-Jae mirror this tenacity, but Lamine Yamal's four bookings for Barcelona lag in odds due to fewer projected minutes and youth factor, with no single leader emerging amid deep tournament runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedDeclan Rice 98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 98%
Martín Zubimendi 98%
Mikel Merino 79%
Declan Rice
98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
98%
Martín Zubimendi
98%
Mikel Merino
79%
Kim Min-Jae
75%
Konrad Laimer
48%
Lamine Yamal
20%
Declan Rice 98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 98%
Martín Zubimendi 98%
Mikel Merino 79%
Declan Rice
98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
98%
Martín Zubimendi
98%
Mikel Merino
79%
Kim Min-Jae
75%
Konrad Laimer
48%
Lamine Yamal
20%
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A cluster of midfield enforcers and defenders—Declan Rice and Martín Zubimendi of Arsenal, Álvaro Fernández Carreras of Real Madrid, and Konrad Laimer of Bayern München—share identical four yellow cards apiece entering the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals, fueling trader consensus around 47–49% implied probabilities and keeping the most cards race razor-tight. Recent round-of-16 action saw Zubimendi booked against Bayer Leverkusen on March 11, while Arsenal's midfield trio (including Mikel Merino at three cards) continues aggressive pressing styles prone to fouls amid high-stakes knockouts. Bayern's Laimer and Kim Min-Jae mirror this tenacity, but Lamine Yamal's four bookings for Barcelona lag in odds due to fewer projected minutes and youth factor, with no single leader emerging amid deep tournament runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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