Name: Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?
Start: 2026-01-16T23:00:22.452Z
End: 2026-01-23T21:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

$410

$415

$420

$425

$430

$435

$440

$445

$450

$455

$460

$465

$470

Tesla Multi Strikes Weekly

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 24 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 8 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 15 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 29 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 5 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 12 above___?

As of market creation, Tesla is estimated to release earnings on January 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tesla’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Tesla releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/.

DOW hits 50k by January 23, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms.

Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

$410
$7,124 Vol.
93%

$415
$1,062 Vol.
92%

$420
$3,008 Vol.
83%

$425
$3,269 Vol.
68%

$430
$18,393 Vol.
62%

$435
$21,605 Vol.
58%

$440
$18,169 Vol.
45%

$445
$2,946 Vol.
29%

$450
$213 Vol.
23%

$455
$682 Vol.
17%

$460
$512 Vol.
48%

$465
$530 Vol.
2%

$470
$1,413 Vol.
1%

Market Context

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

Rules

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

Market Context

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

About

Related

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

$410$7,124 Vol.93%Buy Yes98.6¢Buy No13.3¢

$415$1,062 Vol.92%Buy Yes97.9¢Buy No13.5¢

$420$3,008 Vol.83%Buy Yes94¢Buy No29¢

$425$3,269 Vol.68%Buy Yes84¢Buy No48¢

$430$18,393 Vol.62%Buy Yes79¢Buy No56¢

$435$21,605 Vol.58%Buy Yes62¢Buy No46¢

$440$18,169 Vol.45%Buy Yes58¢Buy No68¢

$445$2,946 Vol.29%Buy Yes53.0¢Buy No95.9¢

$450$213 Vol.23%Buy Yes44.0¢Buy No97.5¢

$455$682 Vol.17%Buy Yes32.0¢Buy No97.9¢

$460$512 Vol.48%Buy Yes94.9¢Buy No98.7¢

$465$530 Vol.2%Buy Yes2.2¢Buy No99.0¢

$470$1,413 Vol.1%Buy Yes1.9¢Buy No99.8¢

Market Context

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

Rules

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

Market Context

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above___?

About

Related

$410
$7,124 Vol.
93%

$415
$1,062 Vol.
92%

$420
$3,008 Vol.
83%

$425
$3,269 Vol.
68%

$430
$18,393 Vol.
62%

$435
$21,605 Vol.
58%

$440
$18,169 Vol.
45%

$445
$2,946 Vol.
29%

$450
$213 Vol.
23%

$455
$682 Vol.
17%

$460
$512 Vol.
48%

$465
$530 Vol.
2%

$470
$1,413 Vol.
1%