Polymarket traders assign a leading 33.5% implied probability to Palantir (PLTR) closing the week of March 23 below $146, reflecting profit-taking pressures amid AI sector volatility and elevated valuations exceeding 100x forward earnings. Strong Q4 results with 27% revenue growth to $708 million—driven by 64% U.S. commercial expansion—bolster 21% odds for >$164, differentiating upside from downside via sustained AIP platform demand. Mid-range buckets around $150-$162 aggregate 45% trader consensus, hinging on FOMC minutes, tech earnings ripple effects, and macro rate sensitivity; wide dispersion underscores uncertainty in post-rally digestion versus breakout potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated<$146 34%
>$164 21%
$158-$160 12%
$148-$150 11%
<$146
34%
$146-$148
10%
$148-$150
11%
$150-$152
11%
$152-$154
11%
$154-$156
10%
$156-$158
10%
$158-$160
12%
$160-$162
11%
$162-$164
10%
>$164
21%
<$146 34%
>$164 21%
$158-$160 12%
$148-$150 11%
<$146
34%
$146-$148
10%
$148-$150
11%
$150-$152
11%
$152-$154
11%
$154-$156
10%
$156-$158
10%
$158-$160
12%
$160-$162
11%
$162-$164
10%
>$164
21%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a leading 33.5% implied probability to Palantir (PLTR) closing the week of March 23 below $146, reflecting profit-taking pressures amid AI sector volatility and elevated valuations exceeding 100x forward earnings. Strong Q4 results with 27% revenue growth to $708 million—driven by 64% U.S. commercial expansion—bolster 21% odds for >$164, differentiating upside from downside via sustained AIP platform demand. Mid-range buckets around $150-$162 aggregate 45% trader consensus, hinging on FOMC minutes, tech earnings ripple effects, and macro rate sensitivity; wide dispersion underscores uncertainty in post-rally digestion versus breakout potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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