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What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?

Market icon

What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?

$246,682 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$246,682 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $455

$53,561 Vol.

<1%

↑ $368

$40,665 Vol.

<1%

↑ $298

$39,192 Vol.

<1%

↑ $228

$68,597 Vol.

<1%

↑ $175

$2,124 Vol.

<1%

↑ $140

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

↑ $105

$22,053 Vol.

1%

↓ $70

$3,728 Vol.

1%

↓ $35

$15,170 Vol.

<1%

↓ $0

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Netflix share price trades around $93 amid heightened trader focus on end-of-March positioning, driven by recent price hikes across all streaming tiers that prompted analyst upgrades, including Oppenheimer lifting its target to $135 and an average consensus of $114. Q4 2025 earnings delivered 18% revenue growth to surpass $10 billion and 325 million paid memberships, reinforcing margin expansion from ad-supported plans now comprising 55% of signups. Competitive positioning strengthens versus Disney and Warner, bolstered by live events like NFL games. Q1 2026 results due April 16 post-resolution could inform April trading, while valuation at 40x forward earnings reflects premium for subscriber momentum versus sector peers.

Netflix share price trades around $93 amid heightened trader focus on end-of-March positioning, driven by recent price hikes across all streaming tiers that prompted analyst upgrades, including Oppenheimer lifting its target to $135 and an average consensus of $114. Q4 2025 earnings delivered 18% revenue growth to surpass $10 billion and 325 million paid memberships, reinforcing margin expansion from ad-supported plans now comprising 55% of signups. Competitive positioning strengthens versus Disney and Warner, bolstered by live events like NFL games. Q1 2026 results due April 16 post-resolution could inform April trading, while valuation at 40x forward earnings reflects premium for subscriber momentum versus sector peers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Netflix share price trades around $93 amid heightened trader focus on end-of-March positioning, driven by recent price hikes across all streaming tiers that prompted analyst upgrades, including Oppenheimer lifting its target to $135 and an average consensus of $114. Q4 2025 earnings delivered 18% revenue growth to surpass $10 billion and 325 million paid memberships, reinforcing margin expansion from ad-supported plans now comprising 55% of signups. Competitive positioning strengthens versus Disney and Warner, bolstered by live events like NFL games. Q1 2026 results due April 16 post-resolution could inform April trading, while valuation at 40x forward earnings reflects premium for subscriber momentum versus sector peers.

Netflix share price trades around $93 amid heightened trader focus on end-of-March positioning, driven by recent price hikes across all streaming tiers that prompted analyst upgrades, including Oppenheimer lifting its target to $135 and an average consensus of $114. Q4 2025 earnings delivered 18% revenue growth to surpass $10 billion and 325 million paid memberships, reinforcing margin expansion from ad-supported plans now comprising 55% of signups. Competitive positioning strengthens versus Disney and Warner, bolstered by live events like NFL games. Q1 2026 results due April 16 post-resolution could inform April trading, while valuation at 40x forward earnings reflects premium for subscriber momentum versus sector peers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $105" at 1%, followed by "↓ $70" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?" has generated $246.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?" is "↑ $105" at just 1%, with "↓ $70" close behind at 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in March 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.