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Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by...?

$73,855 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Thailand and Cambodia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Thailand and Cambodia military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.

Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$73,855
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 11, 2025, 11:04 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$73,855 Vol.

Market icon

Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by...?

November 30

$47,060 Vol.

Yes

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December 31

$15,020 Vol.

Yes

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March 31, 2026

$11,775 Vol.

Yes

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About

Volume
$73,855
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 11, 2025, 11:04 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.