Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by...?
$73,855 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
November 30
$47,060 Vol.
Yes
November 30
$47,060 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$15,020 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$15,020 Vol.
Yes
March 31, 2026
$11,775 Vol.
Yes
March 31, 2026
$11,775 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Thailand and Cambodia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Thailand and Cambodia military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Thailand and Cambodia military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 11, 2025, 11:04 PM UTC
Volume
$73,855End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Nov 11, 2025, 11:04 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$73,855 Vol.
Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by...?
November 30
$47,060 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$15,020 Vol.
Yes
March 31, 2026
$11,775 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$73,855End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Nov 11, 2025, 11:04 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.