Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability on "No" for Stefon Diggs' arrest by March 31, as the deadline passed without any custody or booking reports following his December 2025 felony strangulation/suffocation charge and misdemeanor assault allegation stemming from an incident with his personal chef. Instead of arrest, Dedham police issued a summons; Diggs pleaded not guilty at his February 13 arraignment and was released by the Patriots on March 4 amid ongoing proceedings. Absent new developments like a warrant or unrelated incident—none materialized—traders exhibit full confidence in resolution as No, underscoring the distinction between charges and physical arrest in NFL player legal matters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$69,999 Vol.
$69,999 Vol.
$69,999 Vol.
$69,999 Vol.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 31, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability on "No" for Stefon Diggs' arrest by March 31, as the deadline passed without any custody or booking reports following his December 2025 felony strangulation/suffocation charge and misdemeanor assault allegation stemming from an incident with his personal chef. Instead of arrest, Dedham police issued a summons; Diggs pleaded not guilty at his February 13 arraignment and was released by the Patriots on March 4 amid ongoing proceedings. Absent new developments like a warrant or unrelated incident—none materialized—traders exhibit full confidence in resolution as No, underscoring the distinction between charges and physical arrest in NFL player legal matters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions