Trader consensus prices a 79.9% implied probability Maxx Crosby suits up for the Las Vegas Raiders in 2026, reflecting his contract expiring after 2025—complete with a $64.9 million dead cap hit that deterred trades before the November 5 deadline—and his repeated affirmations of being a "Raider for life" amid nine sacks through nine games despite the team's 2-7 slump. Recent developments, including no trade despite offseason rumors and Crosby battling through an ankle issue in Week 11, reinforce retention odds as the front office prioritizes its elite edge rusher. Cincinnati Bengals (9.5%) lead alternatives as a cap-rich AFC contender needing pass-rush depth beyond aging Trey Hendrickson, while Seattle Seahawks (6.2%) and Baltimore Ravens (4.9%) draw volume for their defensive rebuilds and free-agency war chests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 78.9%
Seattle Seahawks 6.2%
Baltimore Ravens 4.9%
New England Patriots 2.1%
$26,338 Vol.
$26,338 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
79%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Philadelphia Eagles
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 78.9%
Seattle Seahawks 6.2%
Baltimore Ravens 4.9%
New England Patriots 2.1%
$26,338 Vol.
$26,338 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
79%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Baltimore Ravens
5%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Philadelphia Eagles
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a 79.9% implied probability Maxx Crosby suits up for the Las Vegas Raiders in 2026, reflecting his contract expiring after 2025—complete with a $64.9 million dead cap hit that deterred trades before the November 5 deadline—and his repeated affirmations of being a "Raider for life" amid nine sacks through nine games despite the team's 2-7 slump. Recent developments, including no trade despite offseason rumors and Crosby battling through an ankle issue in Week 11, reinforce retention odds as the front office prioritizes its elite edge rusher. Cincinnati Bengals (9.5%) lead alternatives as a cap-rich AFC contender needing pass-rush depth beyond aging Trey Hendrickson, while Seattle Seahawks (6.2%) and Baltimore Ravens (4.9%) draw volume for their defensive rebuilds and free-agency war chests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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