New York Giants' selection of Ohio State linebacker/edge rusher Arvell Reese with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability, reflecting the official first-round outcome amid Round 1 action in Pittsburgh. The 6'4", 241-pound consensus All-American dominated college ball with elite explosiveness—highlighted by a 4.46 40-yard dash at the Combine—and versatile pass-rush upside akin to Micah Parsons, filling the Giants' dire need for front-seven disruption under new coach John Harbaugh. Pre-draft mocks and scouts pegged Reese as the class' top defender, with no trades or surprises altering the board up to pick five. Resolution is final barring unprecedented commissioner intervention, rendering challenges negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArvell Reese 100.0%
Fernando Mendoza <1%
Jeremiyah Love <1%
Sonny Styles <1%
$128,579 Vol.
$128,579 Vol.
Fernando Mendoza
No
Jeremiyah Love
No
Sonny Styles
No
David Bailey
No
Mansoor Delane
No
Carnell Tate
No
Spencer Fano
No
Dillon Thieneman
No
Jermod McCoy
No
Peter Woods
No
Kadyn Proctor
No
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
No
Akheem Mesidor
No
Lee Hunter
No
Malachi Lawrence
No
Dani Dennis-Sutton
No
Keith Abney II
No
Jake Golday
No
Chase Bisontis
No
Elijah Sarratt
No
Derrick Moore
No
Chris Bell
No
Zachariah Branch
No
Mike Washington Jr.
No
Joshua Josephs
No
Caleb Tiernan
No
Keylan Rutledge
No
Caleb Downs
No
Rueben Bain Jr.
No
Monroe Freeling
No
Keldric Faulk
No
Omar Cooper Jr.
No
Chris Johnson
No
KC Concepcion
No
Max Iheanachor
No
Avieon Terrell
No
Gabe Jacas
No
Kayden McDonald
No
R Mason Thomas
No
Caleb Banks
No
Chris Brazzell II
No
Davison Igbinosun
No
Gracen Halton
No
Malik Muhammad
No
Romello Height
No
Arvell Reese
Yes
Olaivavega Ioane
No
Jordyn Tyson
No
Ty Simpson
No
Colton Hood
No
Blake Miller
No
Christen Miller
No
Eli Stowers
No
D'Angelo Ponds
No
Zion Young
No
Jacob Rodriguez
No
Gennings Dunker
No
Domonique Orange
No
Francis Mauigoa
No
Kenyon Sadiq
No
Makai Lemon
No
T.J. Parker
No
Caleb Lomu
No
Cashius Howell
No
Denzel Boston
No
Brandon Cisse
No
C.J. Allen
No
Anthony Hill Jr.
No
Emmanuel Pregnon
No
Keionte Scott
No
Jadarian Price
No
Germie Bernard
No
Kamari Ramsey
No
Max Klare
No
Ted Hurst
No
Arvell Reese 100.0%
Fernando Mendoza <1%
Jeremiyah Love <1%
Sonny Styles <1%
$128,579 Vol.
$128,579 Vol.
Fernando Mendoza
No
Jeremiyah Love
No
Sonny Styles
No
David Bailey
No
Mansoor Delane
No
Carnell Tate
No
Spencer Fano
No
Dillon Thieneman
No
Jermod McCoy
No
Peter Woods
No
Kadyn Proctor
No
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
No
Akheem Mesidor
No
Lee Hunter
No
Malachi Lawrence
No
Dani Dennis-Sutton
No
Keith Abney II
No
Jake Golday
No
Chase Bisontis
No
Elijah Sarratt
No
Derrick Moore
No
Chris Bell
No
Zachariah Branch
No
Mike Washington Jr.
No
Joshua Josephs
No
Caleb Tiernan
No
Keylan Rutledge
No
Caleb Downs
No
Rueben Bain Jr.
No
Monroe Freeling
No
Keldric Faulk
No
Omar Cooper Jr.
No
Chris Johnson
No
KC Concepcion
No
Max Iheanachor
No
Avieon Terrell
No
Gabe Jacas
No
Kayden McDonald
No
R Mason Thomas
No
Caleb Banks
No
Chris Brazzell II
No
Davison Igbinosun
No
Gracen Halton
No
Malik Muhammad
No
Romello Height
No
Arvell Reese
Yes
Olaivavega Ioane
No
Jordyn Tyson
No
Ty Simpson
No
Colton Hood
No
Blake Miller
No
Christen Miller
No
Eli Stowers
No
D'Angelo Ponds
No
Zion Young
No
Jacob Rodriguez
No
Gennings Dunker
No
Domonique Orange
No
Francis Mauigoa
No
Kenyon Sadiq
No
Makai Lemon
No
T.J. Parker
No
Caleb Lomu
No
Cashius Howell
No
Denzel Boston
No
Brandon Cisse
No
C.J. Allen
No
Anthony Hill Jr.
No
Emmanuel Pregnon
No
Keionte Scott
No
Jadarian Price
No
Germie Bernard
No
Kamari Ramsey
No
Max Klare
No
Ted Hurst
No
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
New York Giants' selection of Ohio State linebacker/edge rusher Arvell Reese with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability, reflecting the official first-round outcome amid Round 1 action in Pittsburgh. The 6'4", 241-pound consensus All-American dominated college ball with elite explosiveness—highlighted by a 4.46 40-yard dash at the Combine—and versatile pass-rush upside akin to Micah Parsons, filling the Giants' dire need for front-seven disruption under new coach John Harbaugh. Pre-draft mocks and scouts pegged Reese as the class' top defender, with no trades or surprises altering the board up to pick five. Resolution is final barring unprecedented commissioner intervention, rendering challenges negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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