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Sports·NFL Draft

Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft?

Market icon
Sports·NFL Draft

Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft?

$10,499 Vol.

Apr 23, 2026
Polymarket

$10,499 Vol.

Polymarket

Las Vegas Raiders

$155 Vol.

89%

Cleveland Browns

$0 Vol.

48%

Pittsburgh Steelers

$9,487 Vol.

47%

Los Angeles Rams

$108 Vol.

41%

Seattle Seahawks

$0 Vol.

34%

Arizona Cardinals

$35 Vol.

21%

Indianapolis Colts

$0 Vol.

8%

New York Giants

$360 Vol.

2%

New York Jets

$157 Vol.

36%

Miami Dolphins

$196 Vol.

36%

New Orleans Saints

$0 Vol.

41%

Tennessee Titans

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Las Vegas Raiders hold the No. 1 pick with a glaring franchise QB void after trading Geno Smith to the Jets, positioning them as heavy favorites to select Indiana's Fernando Mendoza amid a top-heavy 2026 quarterback class led by Mendoza, Alabama's Ty Simpson, and LSU's Garrett Nussmeier. New York Jets, at No. 2 and No. 16 following recent trades, added Smith as a bridge starter but retain long-term need, while Arizona Cardinals (No. 3), Tennessee Titans (No. 4 with unproven Cam Ward), New York Giants (No. 5), and Cleveland Browns (Nos. 6, 24) face shaky QB situations from injuries or underperformance in 2025. Free agency addressed few needs, leaving trader consensus anticipating 4-6 first-round QBs ahead of April 23-25 workouts and potential trades.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,499
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Las Vegas Raiders hold the No. 1 pick with a glaring franchise QB void after trading Geno Smith to the Jets, positioning them as heavy favorites to select Indiana's Fernando Mendoza amid a top-heavy 2026 quarterback class led by Mendoza, Alabama's Ty Simpson, and LSU's Garrett Nussmeier. New York Jets, at No. 2 and No. 16 following recent trades, added Smith as a bridge starter but retain long-term need, while Arizona Cardinals (No. 3), Tennessee Titans (No. 4 with unproven Cam Ward), New York Giants (No. 5), and Cleveland Browns (Nos. 6, 24) face shaky QB situations from injuries or underperformance in 2025. Free agency addressed few needs, leaving trader consensus anticipating 4-6 first-round QBs ahead of April 23-25 workouts and potential trades.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,499
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team selects a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?

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Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be traded?

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Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Las Vegas Raiders" at 89%, followed by "Cleveland Browns" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? " has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? ," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? " is "Las Vegas Raiders" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cleveland Browns" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which teams will draft a QB in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Football draft? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.