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2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Market icon

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

David Bailey 57%

Arvell Reese 35%

Reuben Bain Jr. 1.8%

Sonny Styles 1.1%

Polymarket

$240,045 Vol.

David Bailey 57%

Arvell Reese 35%

Reuben Bain Jr. 1.8%

Sonny Styles 1.1%

Polymarket

$240,045 Vol.

David Bailey

$49,510 Vol.

57%

Arvell Reese

$9,353 Vol.

35%

Reuben Bain Jr.

$4,939 Vol.

2%

Sonny Styles

$3,191 Vol.

1%

Ty Simpson

$4,120 Vol.

1%

Fernando Mendoza

$26,617 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$2,735 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$4,188 Vol.

<1%

Jeremiyah Love

$3,154 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$2,738 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$1,990 Vol.

<1%

Carnell Tate

$3,206 Vol.

<1%

Dante Moore

$100,288 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$11,463 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$2,571 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$1,728 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$1,097 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$831 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Goosby

$1,007 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$817 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$1,329 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$1,307 Vol.

<1%

Kayden McDonald

$1,780 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability to be the New York Jets' No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, fueled by his FBS-leading 14.5 sacks last season, elite pass-rush grades, and a sharp odds surge past Ohio State's Arvell Reese following standout pre-draft workouts and Jets-specific mock draft buzz. The race stays tightly bunched with Tennessee EDGE James Pearce Jr., Texas OT Kelvin Banks Jr., and Georgia S Malaki Starks hovering at 49-50%, as the Jets' defensive front and secondary needs create flexibility amid comparable combine metrics, pro day explosions, and volatile big boards highlighting multiple top-5 talents with explosive traits and scheme fits. Recent mock volatility underscores the wisdom of crowds pricing in upset potential for any of these blue-chip prospects.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,045
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability to be the New York Jets' No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, fueled by his FBS-leading 14.5 sacks last season, elite pass-rush grades, and a sharp odds surge past Ohio State's Arvell Reese following standout pre-draft workouts and Jets-specific mock draft buzz. The race stays tightly bunched with Tennessee EDGE James Pearce Jr., Texas OT Kelvin Banks Jr., and Georgia S Malaki Starks hovering at 49-50%, as the Jets' defensive front and secondary needs create flexibility amid comparable combine metrics, pro day explosions, and volatile big boards highlighting multiple top-5 talents with explosive traits and scheme fits. Recent mock volatility underscores the wisdom of crowds pricing in upset potential for any of these blue-chip prospects.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,045
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Bailey" at 57%, followed by "Arvell Reese" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " has generated $240K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick ," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is "David Bailey" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.