Market icon
Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NCAA Football

2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

Arvell Reese 52%

David Bailey 48%

Sonny Styles 1.5%

Reuben Bain Jr. 1.4%

Polymarket

$235,205 Vol.

Arvell Reese 52%

David Bailey 48%

Sonny Styles 1.5%

Reuben Bain Jr. 1.4%

Polymarket

$235,205 Vol.

Arvell Reese

$9,280 Vol.

52%

David Bailey

$46,771 Vol.

30%

Sonny Styles

$3,143 Vol.

2%

Reuben Bain Jr.

$4,927 Vol.

1%

Fernando Mendoza

$26,605 Vol.

1%

Jeremiyah Love

$3,142 Vol.

1%

Caleb Downs

$2,726 Vol.

<1%

Francis Mauigoa

$4,176 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$1,908 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$2,471 Vol.

<1%

Ty Simpson

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

Carnell Tate

$3,194 Vol.

<1%

Dante Moore

$99,231 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$11,451 Vol.

<1%

Jordyn Tyson

$2,559 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$1,728 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$1,097 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$831 Vol.

<1%

Trevor Goosby

$1,007 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$817 Vol.

<1%

LT Overton

$1,329 Vol.

<1%

Keldric Faulk

$1,307 Vol.

<1%

Kayden McDonald

$1,780 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 2 overall pick reflects a tightly contested race among elite defenders and linemen, with Ohio State EDGE/LB Arvell Reese holding a slim edge at 52% implied probability amid the New York Jets' projected selection after Las Vegas takes consensus QB1 Fernando Mendoza. Recent combine dominance—Reese's 4.46-second 40-yard dash and verified explosion (6.5+ splash plays in 2025)—bolstered his case, but Tennessee EDGE James Pearce Jr. (50%), Texas OT Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), Georgia S Malaki Starks (49%), and Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey (46%) remain viable due to premium positional value, Jets' pass-rush and tackle needs, and fluctuating mock drafts. No clear separation persists with draft week intel hinting at defensive priorities over OL in recent reports.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$235,205
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 2 overall pick reflects a tightly contested race among elite defenders and linemen, with Ohio State EDGE/LB Arvell Reese holding a slim edge at 52% implied probability amid the New York Jets' projected selection after Las Vegas takes consensus QB1 Fernando Mendoza. Recent combine dominance—Reese's 4.46-second 40-yard dash and verified explosion (6.5+ splash plays in 2025)—bolstered his case, but Tennessee EDGE James Pearce Jr. (50%), Texas OT Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), Georgia S Malaki Starks (49%), and Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey (46%) remain viable due to premium positional value, Jets' pass-rush and tackle needs, and fluctuating mock drafts. No clear separation persists with draft week intel hinting at defensive priorities over OL in recent reports.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$235,205
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

41%
Market icon

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

98%
Market icon

Will Ty Simpson be the 2nd quarterback drafted in the 2026 pro football draft?

72%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arvell Reese" at 52%, followed by "David Bailey" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " has generated $235.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick ," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " is "Arvell Reese" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Bailey" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.