Official measurements from Central Park confirm that New York City recorded approximately 3.5–3.7 inches of precipitation during May 2026, placing the monthly total squarely within the 3–4 inch band and near the long-term climatological average of roughly 3.7 inches. This outcome reflects the final verified observational data rather than model forecasts, with daily accumulations showing no extreme events that would have pushed totals outside this narrow range. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels stems from the market’s reliance on these authoritative station records once the month concluded. Only a late data revision or reclassification of trace amounts could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for established NOAA-linked stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in NYC in May?
Precipitation in NYC in May?
3-4" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
4-5" <1%
$17,403 Vol.
$17,403 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<2"
No
2-3"
No
3-4"
Yes
4-5"
No
5-6"
No
>6"
No
3-4" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
4-5" <1%
$17,403 Vol.
$17,403 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<2"
$2,876 Vol.
No
2-3"
$4,165 Vol.
No
3-4"
$4,267 Vol.
Yes
4-5"
$1,930 Vol.
No
5-6"
$2,704 Vol.
No
>6"
$1,462 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Central Park confirm that New York City recorded approximately 3.5–3.7 inches of precipitation during May 2026, placing the monthly total squarely within the 3–4 inch band and near the long-term climatological average of roughly 3.7 inches. This outcome reflects the final verified observational data rather than model forecasts, with daily accumulations showing no extreme events that would have pushed totals outside this narrow range. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels stems from the market’s reliance on these authoritative station records once the month concluded. Only a late data revision or reclassification of trace amounts could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for established NOAA-linked stations.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$17,403End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Central Park confirm that New York City recorded approximately 3.5–3.7 inches of precipitation during May 2026, placing the monthly total squarely within the 3–4 inch band and near the long-term climatological average of roughly 3.7 inches. This outcome reflects the final verified observational data rather than model forecasts, with daily accumulations showing no extreme events that would have pushed totals outside this narrow range. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels stems from the market’s reliance on these authoritative station records once the month concluded. Only a late data revision or reclassification of trace amounts could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for established NOAA-linked stations.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,403End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from Central Park confirm that New York City recorded approximately 3.5–3.7 inches of precipitation during May 2026, placing the monthly total squarely within the 3–4 inch band and near the long-term climatological average of roughly 3.7 inches. This outcome reflects the final verified observational data rather than model forecasts, with daily accumulations showing no extreme events that would have pushed totals outside this narrow range. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels stems from the market’s reliance on these authoritative station records once the month concluded. Only a late data revision or reclassification of trace amounts could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for established NOAA-linked stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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