Mark Tedford holds a commanding lead in the Oklahoma 1st Congressional District Republican primary market due to his top finish in the June 16, 2026, primary with roughly 32 percent of the vote, ahead of Jackson Lahmeyer at 26 percent and a crowded field that included Nathan Butterfield. Tedford advanced to the scheduled August 25 runoff alongside Lahmeyer, but Lahmeyer's subsequent campaign suspension has left Tedford as the clear frontrunner. President Trump's shift in endorsement from Lahmeyer to Tedford further consolidated support among Republican primary voters. With the seat open after Kevin Hern's Senate bid, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of any remaining candidate or development altering the outcome before the runoff. Unforeseen events such as a reversal by Lahmeyer or new candidate eligibility issues could theoretically intervene, though no such developments are currently indicated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Mark Tedford 99.6%
Jackson Lahmeyer <1%
Jed Cochran <1%
Nancy Dyson <1%
$135,064 Vol.
$135,064 Vol.
Mark Tedford
100%
Jackson Lahmeyer
1%
Jed Cochran
<1%
Nancy Dyson
<1%
Paul Royse
<1%
Kelly B. Walsh
<1%
Nathan Butterfield
<1%
Kim David
<1%
Courtney Gill
<1%
Dan Rooney
<1%
Jackson Stallings
<1%
Todd Woods
<1%
Mark Tedford 99.6%
Jackson Lahmeyer <1%
Jed Cochran <1%
Nancy Dyson <1%
$135,064 Vol.
$135,064 Vol.
Mark Tedford
100%
Jackson Lahmeyer
1%
Jed Cochran
<1%
Nancy Dyson
<1%
Paul Royse
<1%
Kelly B. Walsh
<1%
Nathan Butterfield
<1%
Kim David
<1%
Courtney Gill
<1%
Dan Rooney
<1%
Jackson Stallings
<1%
Todd Woods
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Tedford holds a commanding lead in the Oklahoma 1st Congressional District Republican primary market due to his top finish in the June 16, 2026, primary with roughly 32 percent of the vote, ahead of Jackson Lahmeyer at 26 percent and a crowded field that included Nathan Butterfield. Tedford advanced to the scheduled August 25 runoff alongside Lahmeyer, but Lahmeyer's subsequent campaign suspension has left Tedford as the clear frontrunner. President Trump's shift in endorsement from Lahmeyer to Tedford further consolidated support among Republican primary voters. With the seat open after Kevin Hern's Senate bid, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of any remaining candidate or development altering the outcome before the runoff. Unforeseen events such as a reversal by Lahmeyer or new candidate eligibility issues could theoretically intervene, though no such developments are currently indicated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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