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icon for NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?

NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?

icon for NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?

NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?

75%–76% 100.0%

<74% <1%

74%–75% <1%

76%+ <1%

Polymarket

$16,229 Vol.

75%–76% 100.0%

<74% <1%

74%–75% <1%

76%+ <1%

Polymarket

$16,229 Vol.

<74%

$2,633 Vol.

No

74%–75%

$2,939 Vol.

No

75%–76%

$7,723 Vol.

Yes

76%+

$2,934 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's announced non-GAAP (adjusted) gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is NVIDIA's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.NVIDIA’s fiscal first-quarter 2027 non-GAAP gross margin of 75.0 percent aligns precisely with company guidance of 74.9–75.0 percent plus or minus 50 basis points and Street consensus, driving the market’s near-certain 75–76 percent outcome. Strong data-center demand, continued Blackwell production efficiencies, and pricing power in AI accelerators have offset higher component costs, keeping margins stable from the prior quarter. Traders view the result as reflecting durable operating leverage rather than one-time factors. A material deviation would require unexpected shifts such as accelerated China export restrictions, sharper-than-anticipated cost inflation in advanced packaging, or a faster ramp of lower-margin products that compresses the blended rate outside the guided range.

This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's announced non-GAAP (adjusted) gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is NVIDIA's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$16,229
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's announced non-GAAP (adjusted) gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is NVIDIA's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's announced non-GAAP (adjusted) gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is NVIDIA's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.NVIDIA’s fiscal first-quarter 2027 non-GAAP gross margin of 75.0 percent aligns precisely with company guidance of 74.9–75.0 percent plus or minus 50 basis points and Street consensus, driving the market’s near-certain 75–76 percent outcome. Strong data-center demand, continued Blackwell production efficiencies, and pricing power in AI accelerators have offset higher component costs, keeping margins stable from the prior quarter. Traders view the result as reflecting durable operating leverage rather than one-time factors. A material deviation would require unexpected shifts such as accelerated China export restrictions, sharper-than-anticipated cost inflation in advanced packaging, or a faster ramp of lower-margin products that compresses the blended rate outside the guided range.

This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's announced non-GAAP (adjusted) gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is NVIDIA's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$16,229
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's announced non-GAAP (adjusted) gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is NVIDIA's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "75%–76%" at 100%, followed by "<74%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?" has generated $16.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?" is "75%–76%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<74%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.