Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash variant "next month" remains the dominant factor keeping June dates clustered in a tight 25–30% range on the market. Traders see the model as still undergoing final polishing for complex reasoning and agentic capabilities after Flash's general availability, with no further official timeline or preview release in the intervening weeks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and ongoing internal testing explain why probabilities stay distributed rather than coalescing on any single day, while the low 7% chance of no release by month-end reflects broad confidence that Google will meet its stated window. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer-access updates or benchmark disclosures that could shift sentiment toward earlier or later dates within June.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6 月 9 日 29%
6 月 23 日 28%
6 月 30 日 27%
6 月 10 日 27%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
24%
6 月 13 日
6%
6 月 23 日
28%
6 月 24 日
28%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
8%
6 月 8 日
6%
6 月 10 日
27%
6月20日
6%
6 月 3 日
5%
6 月 4 日
8%
6 月 5 日
6%
6 月 6 日
6%
6 月 15 日
5%
6 月 21 日
7%
6 月 25 日
28%
6 月 7 日
5%
6 月 9 日
29%
6 月 11 日
19%
6 月 12 日
7%
6 月 14 日
6%
6 月 16 日
25%
6 月 17 日
25%
6 月 18 日
19%
6 月 19 日
9%
6 月 30 日
27%
6 月 22 日
23%
6 月 27 日
6%
6 月 28 日
3%
6 月 29 日
28%
在6月30日前不會發布
8%
6 月 9 日 29%
6 月 23 日 28%
6 月 30 日 27%
6 月 10 日 27%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
$57 交易量
24%
6 月 13 日
$105 交易量
6%
6 月 23 日
$57 交易量
28%
6 月 24 日
$55 交易量
28%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
$55 交易量
8%
6 月 8 日
$57 交易量
6%
6 月 10 日
$57 交易量
27%
6月20日
$106 交易量
6%
6 月 3 日
$55 交易量
5%
6 月 4 日
$57 交易量
8%
6 月 5 日
$94 交易量
6%
6 月 6 日
$99 交易量
6%
6 月 15 日
$55 交易量
5%
6 月 21 日
$57 交易量
7%
6 月 25 日
$57 交易量
28%
6 月 7 日
$107 交易量
5%
6 月 9 日
$57 交易量
29%
6 月 11 日
$57 交易量
19%
6 月 12 日
$57 交易量
7%
6 月 14 日
$112 交易量
6%
6 月 16 日
$57 交易量
25%
6 月 17 日
$57 交易量
25%
6 月 18 日
$57 交易量
19%
6 月 19 日
$77 交易量
9%
6 月 30 日
$57 交易量
27%
6 月 22 日
$57 交易量
23%
6 月 27 日
$57 交易量
6%
6 月 28 日
$177 交易量
3%
6 月 29 日
$57 交易量
28%
在6月30日前不會發布
$77 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash variant "next month" remains the dominant factor keeping June dates clustered in a tight 25–30% range on the market. Traders see the model as still undergoing final polishing for complex reasoning and agentic capabilities after Flash's general availability, with no further official timeline or preview release in the intervening weeks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and ongoing internal testing explain why probabilities stay distributed rather than coalescing on any single day, while the low 7% chance of no release by month-end reflects broad confidence that Google will meet its stated window. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer-access updates or benchmark disclosures that could shift sentiment toward earlier or later dates within June.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,109結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash variant "next month" remains the dominant factor keeping June dates clustered in a tight 25–30% range on the market. Traders see the model as still undergoing final polishing for complex reasoning and agentic capabilities after Flash's general availability, with no further official timeline or preview release in the intervening weeks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and ongoing internal testing explain why probabilities stay distributed rather than coalescing on any single day, while the low 7% chance of no release by month-end reflects broad confidence that Google will meet its stated window. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer-access updates or benchmark disclosures that could shift sentiment toward earlier or later dates within June.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,109結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash variant "next month" remains the dominant factor keeping June dates clustered in a tight 25–30% range on the market. Traders see the model as still undergoing final polishing for complex reasoning and agentic capabilities after Flash's general availability, with no further official timeline or preview release in the intervening weeks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and ongoing internal testing explain why probabilities stay distributed rather than coalescing on any single day, while the low 7% chance of no release by month-end reflects broad confidence that Google will meet its stated window. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer-access updates or benchmark disclosures that could shift sentiment toward earlier or later dates within June.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions