Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo release by June 30 98.7%
June 6 1.0%
June 21 1.0%
June 8 <1%
$243,465 Vol.
$243,465 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
On or prior to June 2
No
June 3
No
June 4
No
June 5
No
June 6
No
June 7
No
June 8
No
June 9
No
June 10
No
June 11
No
June 12
No
June 13
No
June 14
No
June 15
No
June 16
No
June 17
No
June 18
No
June 19
No
June 20
No
June 21
No
June 22
No
June 23
No
June 24
No
June 25
No
June 26
No
June 27
No
June 28
No
June 29
No
June 30
No
No release by June 30
Yes
No release by June 30 98.7%
June 6 1.0%
June 21 1.0%
June 8 <1%
$243,465 Vol.
$243,465 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
On or prior to June 2
$646 Vol.
No
June 3
$2,518 Vol.
No
June 4
$8,698 Vol.
No
June 5
$1,884 Vol.
No
June 6
$1,557 Vol.
No
June 7
$1,373 Vol.
No
June 8
$1,185 Vol.
No
June 9
$18,870 Vol.
No
June 10
$1,731 Vol.
No
June 11
$5,045 Vol.
No
June 12
$2,919 Vol.
No
June 13
$3,166 Vol.
No
June 14
$2,640 Vol.
No
June 15
$2,366 Vol.
No
June 16
$6,240 Vol.
No
June 17
$4,148 Vol.
No
June 18
$2,986 Vol.
No
June 19
$3,049 Vol.
No
June 20
$2,345 Vol.
No
June 21
$2,067 Vol.
No
June 22
$6,936 Vol.
No
June 23
$19,161 Vol.
No
June 24
$9,359 Vol.
No
June 25
$8,242 Vol.
No
June 26
$11,433 Vol.
No
June 27
$3,461 Vol.
No
June 28
$4,130 Vol.
No
June 29
$10,571 Vol.
No
June 30
$33,506 Vol.
No
No release by June 30
$61,233 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$243,465End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$243,465End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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