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Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5

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Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5

MTG

>99% chance
Polymarket

$484 Vol.

MTG

>99% chance
Polymarket

$484 Vol.

If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week. Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.

If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG".

If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi".

The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608
The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096

The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner.

If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.
Volume
$484
End Date
Jan 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week. Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.

Outcome proposed: MTG

No dispute

Final outcome: MTG

If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week. Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.

If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG".

If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi".

The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608
The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096

The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner.

If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week.

Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.
Volume
$484
End Date
Jan 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week. Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.

Outcome proposed: MTG

No dispute

Final outcome: MTG

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5" is "Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nancy Pelosi vs Marjorie Taylor Greene: Week of January 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.