Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 21%

Los Angeles FC 20%

San Diego FC 9.3%

Real Salt Lake 5.2%

Polymarket

$7,343,790 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 21%

Los Angeles FC 20%

San Diego FC 9.3%

Real Salt Lake 5.2%

Polymarket

$7,343,790 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$4,224 Vol.

21%

Los Angeles FC

$1,335 Vol.

20%

San Diego FC

$655,914 Vol.

9%

Real Salt Lake

$2,212,713 Vol.

5%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$76,584 Vol.

5%

Orlando City SC

$1,672,031 Vol.

5%

Nashville SC

$28,367 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$272,198 Vol.

4%

Seattle Sounders FC

$518,918 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$335,996 Vol.

4%

Columbus Crew

$796,007 Vol.

4%

San Jose Earthquakes

$416,449 Vol.

3%

Charlotte FC

$233,724 Vol.

2%

Philadelphia Union

$830 Vol.

2%

Portland Timbers

$24,654 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$1,108 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$16,141 Vol.

1%

LA Galaxy

$1,543 Vol.

1%

Minnesota United FC

$15,120 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$766 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$977 Vol.

1%

Toronto FC

$1,152 Vol.

1%

Chicago Fire FC

$976 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$19,722 Vol.

1%

St. Louis City SC

$29,398 Vol.

1%

Houston Dynamo FC

$3,979 Vol.

1%

CF Montréal

$760 Vol.

<1%

New England Revolution

$801 Vol.

<1%

D.C. United

$809 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$897 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Inter Miami CF slightly ahead of Los Angeles FC at around 20% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Cup, reflecting Messi's enduring impact from the 2024 Supporters' Shield win and Leagues Cup success despite their first-round playoff exit, while LAFC's consistent Western Conference contention and core retention like Denis Bouanga provide stiff competition. San Diego FC's surge to 9.3% stems from expansion hype and marquee signings such as Hirving Lozano, injecting fresh capital into the parity-driven league. Recent LA Galaxy MLS Cup triumph hasn't elevated their odds amid roster questions, leaving Vancouver Whitecaps, Orlando City SC, and Real Salt Lake viable on 2024 momentum, underscoring MLS salary cap dynamics and lack of dynasty that keep the top tightly contested.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,343,790
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Inter Miami CF slightly ahead of Los Angeles FC at around 20% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Cup, reflecting Messi's enduring impact from the 2024 Supporters' Shield win and Leagues Cup success despite their first-round playoff exit, while LAFC's consistent Western Conference contention and core retention like Denis Bouanga provide stiff competition. San Diego FC's surge to 9.3% stems from expansion hype and marquee signings such as Hirving Lozano, injecting fresh capital into the parity-driven league. Recent LA Galaxy MLS Cup triumph hasn't elevated their odds amid roster questions, leaving Vancouver Whitecaps, Orlando City SC, and Real Salt Lake viable on 2024 momentum, underscoring MLS salary cap dynamics and lack of dynasty that keep the top tightly contested.

Trader consensus prices Inter Miami CF slightly ahead of Los Angeles FC at around 20% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Cup, reflecting Messi's enduring impact from the 2024 Supporters' Shield win and Leagues Cup success despite their first-round playoff exit, while LAFC's consistent Western Conference contention and core retention like Denis Bouanga provide stiff competition. San Diego FC's surge to 9.3% stems from expansion hype and marquee signings such as Hirving Lozano, injecting fresh capital into the parity-driven league. Recent LA Galaxy MLS Cup triumph hasn't elevated their odds amid roster questions, leaving Vancouver Whitecaps, Orlando City SC, and Real Salt Lake viable on 2024 momentum, underscoring MLS salary cap dynamics and lack of dynasty that keep the top tightly contested.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 21%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $7.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.