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Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Tarik Skubal 19%

Garrett Crochet 15%

Jacob deGrom 14%

Max Fried 9.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Tarik Skubal 19%

Garrett Crochet 15%

Jacob deGrom 14%

Max Fried 9.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Tarik Skubal

$0 Vol.

26%

Garrett Crochet

$0 Vol.

13%

Jacob deGrom

$381 Vol.

14%

Cole Ragans

$0 Vol.

7%

Hunter Brown

$0 Vol.

7%

Max Fried

$435 Vol.

9%

Bryan Woo

$0 Vol.

9%

Logan Gilbert

$0 Vol.

5%

Kyle Bradish

$0 Vol.

5%

Joe Ryan

$0 Vol.

5%

Ranger Suarez

$174 Vol.

29%

Nathan Eovaldi

$0 Vol.

5%

Dylan Cease

$0 Vol.

8%

George Kirby

$0 Vol.

6%

Carlos Rodón

$0 Vol.

5%

Kevin Gausman

$0 Vol.

3%

MacKenzie Gore

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Soriano

$0 Vol.

5%

Pablo Lopez

$762 Vol.

2%

Gavin Williams

$0 Vol.

5%

Bryce Miller

$0 Vol.

5%

Cam Schlittler

$0 Vol.

7%

Gerrit Cole

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ranger Suárez leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young following his January signing with the Boston Red Sox on a five-year, $130 million deal, positioning him atop a stacked rotation with ace Garrett Crochet (12.5%) and enhanced run support in hitter-friendly Fenway Park after strong Phillies tenure. Defending two-time winner Tarik Skubal (26.0%) remains close behind, fresh off back-to-back awards and a salary arbitration victory, with Tigers' improved lineup aiding his workload. Jacob deGrom (13.5%) enters healthy post-comeback, but injury history tempers enthusiasm amid a deep field including Hunter Brown, Cole Ragans, and emerging arms like Bryan Woo. Early spring standouts and Opening Day gems from Crochet underscore the tight race, hinging on innings totals, ERA, and WHIP over 162 games.

Ranger Suárez leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young following his January signing with the Boston Red Sox on a five-year, $130 million deal, positioning him atop a stacked rotation with ace Garrett Crochet (12.5%) and enhanced run support in hitter-friendly Fenway Park after strong Phillies tenure. Defending two-time winner Tarik Skubal (26.0%) remains close behind, fresh off back-to-back awards and a salary arbitration victory, with Tigers' improved lineup aiding his workload. Jacob deGrom (13.5%) enters healthy post-comeback, but injury history tempers enthusiasm amid a deep field including Hunter Brown, Cole Ragans, and emerging arms like Bryan Woo. Early spring standouts and Opening Day gems from Crochet underscore the tight race, hinging on innings totals, ERA, and WHIP over 162 games.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ranger Suárez leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young following his January signing with the Boston Red Sox on a five-year, $130 million deal, positioning him atop a stacked rotation with ace Garrett Crochet (12.5%) and enhanced run support in hitter-friendly Fenway Park after strong Phillies tenure. Defending two-time winner Tarik Skubal (26.0%) remains close behind, fresh off back-to-back awards and a salary arbitration victory, with Tigers' improved lineup aiding his workload. Jacob deGrom (13.5%) enters healthy post-comeback, but injury history tempers enthusiasm amid a deep field including Hunter Brown, Cole Ragans, and emerging arms like Bryan Woo. Early spring standouts and Opening Day gems from Crochet underscore the tight race, hinging on innings totals, ERA, and WHIP over 162 games.

Ranger Suárez leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young following his January signing with the Boston Red Sox on a five-year, $130 million deal, positioning him atop a stacked rotation with ace Garrett Crochet (12.5%) and enhanced run support in hitter-friendly Fenway Park after strong Phillies tenure. Defending two-time winner Tarik Skubal (26.0%) remains close behind, fresh off back-to-back awards and a salary arbitration victory, with Tigers' improved lineup aiding his workload. Jacob deGrom (13.5%) enters healthy post-comeback, but injury history tempers enthusiasm amid a deep field including Hunter Brown, Cole Ragans, and emerging arms like Bryan Woo. Early spring standouts and Opening Day gems from Crochet underscore the tight race, hinging on innings totals, ERA, and WHIP over 162 games.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ranger Suarez" at 29%, followed by "Tarik Skubal" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is "Ranger Suarez" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tarik Skubal" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.