Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% reflecting near-certainty that Border Patrol agents Jesus Ochoa and Raymundo Gutierrez will not face charges for the January 24 fatal shooting of armed Minneapolis resident Alex Pretti during Operation Metro Surge immigration enforcement. Federal officials, including Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino, described the encounter as self-defense, with video evidence showing Pretti approaching agents with a firearm and multiple loaded magazines, prompting defensive shots. Over two months later, no indictment or state prosecution has emerged despite the death being ruled a homicide medically; Minnesota prosecutors face significant hurdles charging federal officers in line-of-duty actions, bolstered by DOJ oversight. Late-breaking contradictory evidence or policy shifts could theoretically prompt review, though barriers remain high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$743,221 Vol.
$743,221 Vol.
$743,221 Vol.
$743,221 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 24, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% reflecting near-certainty that Border Patrol agents Jesus Ochoa and Raymundo Gutierrez will not face charges for the January 24 fatal shooting of armed Minneapolis resident Alex Pretti during Operation Metro Surge immigration enforcement. Federal officials, including Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino, described the encounter as self-defense, with video evidence showing Pretti approaching agents with a firearm and multiple loaded magazines, prompting defensive shots. Over two months later, no indictment or state prosecution has emerged despite the death being ruled a homicide medically; Minnesota prosecutors face significant hurdles charging federal officers in line-of-duty actions, bolstered by DOJ oversight. Late-breaking contradictory evidence or policy shifts could theoretically prompt review, though barriers remain high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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