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Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Market icon

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$743,221 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$743,221 Vol.

On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% reflecting near-certainty that Border Patrol agents Jesus Ochoa and Raymundo Gutierrez will not face charges for the January 24 fatal shooting of armed Minneapolis resident Alex Pretti during Operation Metro Surge immigration enforcement. Federal officials, including Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino, described the encounter as self-defense, with video evidence showing Pretti approaching agents with a firearm and multiple loaded magazines, prompting defensive shots. Over two months later, no indictment or state prosecution has emerged despite the death being ruled a homicide medically; Minnesota prosecutors face significant hurdles charging federal officers in line-of-duty actions, bolstered by DOJ oversight. Late-breaking contradictory evidence or policy shifts could theoretically prompt review, though barriers remain high.

On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$743,221
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 24, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 100% reflecting near-certainty that Border Patrol agents Jesus Ochoa and Raymundo Gutierrez will not face charges for the January 24 fatal shooting of armed Minneapolis resident Alex Pretti during Operation Metro Surge immigration enforcement. Federal officials, including Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino, described the encounter as self-defense, with video evidence showing Pretti approaching agents with a firearm and multiple loaded magazines, prompting defensive shots. Over two months later, no indictment or state prosecution has emerged despite the death being ruled a homicide medically; Minnesota prosecutors face significant hurdles charging federal officers in line-of-duty actions, bolstered by DOJ oversight. Late-breaking contradictory evidence or policy shifts could theoretically prompt review, though barriers remain high.

On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$743,221
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 24, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
On January 24, 2026, a federal immigration agent shot and killed a man in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during a federal immigration enforcement operation (see: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/ice-minneapolis-shooting-01-24-26). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?" has generated $743.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.