Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate centers tightly on 4.2% and 4.3% amid April’s upside surprise to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023 and above the 3.7% consensus. Energy prices, particularly gasoline surging 28.4% year-over-year following geopolitical oil shocks, continue to exert upward pressure, while shelter and food components also firmed. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for May point to a 0.46% month-over-month headline gain that would lift the annual pace near 4.2%, aligning with economist forecasts clustered around 4.0–4.2%. The June 10 release remains the immediate catalyst, with any moderation in energy or shelter readings able to shift probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Annual
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
4.1% 7.4%
≥4.4% 6%
$393,881 ปริมาณ
$393,881 ปริมาณ
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
6%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
4.1% 7.4%
≥4.4% 6%
$393,881 ปริมาณ
$393,881 ปริมาณ
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
6%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate centers tightly on 4.2% and 4.3% amid April’s upside surprise to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023 and above the 3.7% consensus. Energy prices, particularly gasoline surging 28.4% year-over-year following geopolitical oil shocks, continue to exert upward pressure, while shelter and food components also firmed. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for May point to a 0.46% month-over-month headline gain that would lift the annual pace near 4.2%, aligning with economist forecasts clustered around 4.0–4.2%. The June 10 release remains the immediate catalyst, with any moderation in energy or shelter readings able to shift probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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