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Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?

NEW
42% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if María Machado is photographed or videotaped wearing a dress or skirt in the physical presence of Trump at any point during their next in-person meeting period between market creation and January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “meeting period” refers to the full continuous span of time associated with their next in-person engagement. The meeting period begins when Machado and Trump first meet in person and continues through any pauses until at least one of the two individuals departs the country in which that in-person engagement is taking place.

If a qualifying meeting period begins before January 16, 2026, but is still ongoing as of that date, this market will remain open until that meeting period concludes.

A dress or skirt refers to women's attire where a dress is a one-piece garment covering the torso and legs without a division between the legs, or a skirt is a separate bottom garment that encircles the lower body as a single unified piece of fabric rather than being bifurcated into separate leg openings, as commonly understood in Western formal or semi-formal dress codes.

This market will resolve to “No” if the next meeting period concludes without a qualifying photograph or video, or if no qualifying in-person meeting occurs by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Volume
$550
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Created At
Jan 13, 2026, 11:29 PM UTC
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NEW
Market icon

Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?

42% chance

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if María Machado is photographed or videotaped wearing a dress or skirt in the physical presence of Trump at any point during their next in-person meeting period between market creation and January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “meeting period” refers to the full continuous span of time associated with their next in-person engagement. The meeting period begins when Machado and Trump first meet in person and continues through any pauses until at least one of the two individuals departs the country in which that in-person engagement is taking place.

If a qualifying meeting period begins before January 16, 2026, but is still ongoing as of that date, this market will remain open until that meeting period concludes.

A dress or skirt refers to women's attire where a dress is a one-piece garment covering the torso and legs without a division between the legs, or a skirt is a separate bottom garment that encircles the lower body as a single unified piece of fabric rather than being bifurcated into separate leg openings, as commonly understood in Western formal or semi-formal dress codes.

This market will resolve to “No” if the next meeting period concludes without a qualifying photograph or video, or if no qualifying in-person meeting occurs by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Volume
$550
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Created At
Jan 13, 2026, 11:29 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.