Market icon

Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner

Atvara 100.0%

Jānis Rugājs <1%

Elpo <1%

Emilija <1%

Polymarket

$37,255 Vol.

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Latvia: Supernova 2026, who will represent Latvia in the 2026 Eurovision song contest.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Latvia: Supernova 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Supernova rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Supernova (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/latvia/supernova-2026), including live footage of Supernova 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$37,255
End Date
Feb 14, 2026
Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Latvia: Supernova 2026, who will represent Latvia in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Latvia: Supernova 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Supernova rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Supernova (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/latvia/supernova-2026), including live footage of Supernova 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Atvara" at 100%, followed by "Jānis Rugājs" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" has generated $37.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" is "Atvara" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jānis Rugājs" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner

Atvara 100.0%

Jānis Rugājs <1%

Elpo <1%

Emilija <1%

Polymarket

$37,255 Vol.

Atvara

$4,605 Vol.

Yes

Jānis Rugājs

$1,118 Vol.

No

Elpo

$2,248 Vol.

No

Emilija

$3,747 Vol.

No

Miks Galvanovskis

$2,471 Vol.

No

Legzdina

$4,122 Vol.

No

Robert Ox

$2,640 Vol.

No

Tikasha Sakama

$2,378 Vol.

No

Kautkaili

$10,911 Vol.

No

Agnesse

$3,015 Vol.

No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Atvara" at 100%, followed by "Jānis Rugājs" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" has generated $37.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" is "Atvara" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jānis Rugājs" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.