Latest forecast models, including those reflected in AccuWeather guidance, project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 around 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with humid conditions (humidity near 80%) and a 75% chance of morning rain, driving trader consensus to 30% implied probability for 27°C versus 23.5% for 28°C. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show highs of 25-26°C amid southerly winds (10-20 km/h) and frequent showers, consistent with subtropical spring patterns where sea breezes and moisture suppress extremes above 28°C but enable diurnal heating to mid-20s. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing—persistent overcast favors 26°C (17.5%), while breaks in showers could boost to 28°C or higher (14%). Updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS ensembles due in the next day will clarify model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 25%
28°C 23%
26°C 17%
25°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
23%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 25%
28°C 23%
26°C 17%
25°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
20°C or below
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$926 Vol.
1%
22°C
$694 Vol.
1%
23°C
$552 Vol.
2%
24°C
$435 Vol.
5%
25°C
$334 Vol.
15%
26°C
$446 Vol.
23%
27°C
$397 Vol.
25%
28°C
$365 Vol.
23%
29°C
$336 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$492 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models, including those reflected in AccuWeather guidance, project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 around 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with humid conditions (humidity near 80%) and a 75% chance of morning rain, driving trader consensus to 30% implied probability for 27°C versus 23.5% for 28°C. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show highs of 25-26°C amid southerly winds (10-20 km/h) and frequent showers, consistent with subtropical spring patterns where sea breezes and moisture suppress extremes above 28°C but enable diurnal heating to mid-20s. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing—persistent overcast favors 26°C (17.5%), while breaks in showers could boost to 28°C or higher (14%). Updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS ensembles due in the next day will clarify model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Volume
$5,635End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models, including those reflected in AccuWeather guidance, project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 around 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with humid conditions (humidity near 80%) and a 75% chance of morning rain, driving trader consensus to 30% implied probability for 27°C versus 23.5% for 28°C. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show highs of 25-26°C amid southerly winds (10-20 km/h) and frequent showers, consistent with subtropical spring patterns where sea breezes and moisture suppress extremes above 28°C but enable diurnal heating to mid-20s. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing—persistent overcast favors 26°C (17.5%), while breaks in showers could boost to 28°C or higher (14%). Updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS ensembles due in the next day will clarify model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,635End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models, including those reflected in AccuWeather guidance, project Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 5 around 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with humid conditions (humidity near 80%) and a 75% chance of morning rain, driving trader consensus to 30% implied probability for 27°C versus 23.5% for 28°C. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show highs of 25-26°C amid southerly winds (10-20 km/h) and frequent showers, consistent with subtropical spring patterns where sea breezes and moisture suppress extremes above 28°C but enable diurnal heating to mid-20s. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing—persistent overcast favors 26°C (17.5%), while breaks in showers could boost to 28°C or higher (14%). Updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS ensembles due in the next day will clarify model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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