Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 33°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 16, driven by ensemble weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global forecasts like ECMWF converging on this peak amid typical pre-monsoon conditions. Historical data shows Lucknow's March maxima averaging 31-34°C, with current upper-air patterns—stable high pressure and low humidity—supporting daytime heating to this level without extremes. Recent satellite observations confirm minimal cloud interference, solidifying model confidence. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen dust storm or northerly winds introducing cooler air, though probabilities remain low (<5%) per probabilistic forecasts, keeping market odds firmly anchored.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 16?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$4,403 Vol.
$4,403 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$4,403 Vol.
$4,403 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 33°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 16, driven by ensemble weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global forecasts like ECMWF converging on this peak amid typical pre-monsoon conditions. Historical data shows Lucknow's March maxima averaging 31-34°C, with current upper-air patterns—stable high pressure and low humidity—supporting daytime heating to this level without extremes. Recent satellite observations confirm minimal cloud interference, solidifying model confidence. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen dust storm or northerly winds introducing cooler air, though probabilities remain low (<5%) per probabilistic forecasts, keeping market odds firmly anchored.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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