Trader sentiment on Miami's highest temperature March 16 hinges on a razor-thin model consensus around 85-86°F, pitting 84-85°F (47.5%) against 86-87°F (46.5%), with NOAA's latest forecast calling for a high near 85°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly breezes. Key differentiators include ensemble spreads: ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84°F, emphasizing marine layer persistence, while GFS runs edge hotter toward 86°F, factoring amplified convective heating from warm Gulf Stream waters. Recent updates show shrinking uncertainty from fading El Niño influences, though historical March norms (79°F average high) and occasional 5-7°F spikes above baseline add volatility to this closely matched race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on March 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 16?
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$16,275 Vol.
$16,275 Vol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$16,275 Vol.
$16,275 Vol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader sentiment on Miami's highest temperature March 16 hinges on a razor-thin model consensus around 85-86°F, pitting 84-85°F (47.5%) against 86-87°F (46.5%), with NOAA's latest forecast calling for a high near 85°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly breezes. Key differentiators include ensemble spreads: ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84°F, emphasizing marine layer persistence, while GFS runs edge hotter toward 86°F, factoring amplified convective heating from warm Gulf Stream waters. Recent updates show shrinking uncertainty from fading El Niño influences, though historical March norms (79°F average high) and occasional 5-7°F spikes above baseline add volatility to this closely matched race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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