Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 38°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 14, driven by observational data from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station (VILK)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a peak of 38°C amid persistent clear skies, haze, and low humidity characteristic of mid-April pre-monsoon conditions. This matches India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance forecasting 38–39°C after yesterday's 38.1°C maximum (near-normal departure), aligning with historical April averages of 37.7°C under subsiding high-pressure ridges suppressing cloud cover and favoring daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions from additional hourly logs or localized urban heat island amplification, though evening temperatures dropping to 29°C signal the peak has passed without higher readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
38°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$99,010 Vol.
$99,010 Vol.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$99,010 Vol.
$99,010 Vol.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 38°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 14, driven by observational data from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station (VILK)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a peak of 38°C amid persistent clear skies, haze, and low humidity characteristic of mid-April pre-monsoon conditions. This matches India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance forecasting 38–39°C after yesterday's 38.1°C maximum (near-normal departure), aligning with historical April averages of 37.7°C under subsiding high-pressure ridges suppressing cloud cover and favoring daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions from additional hourly logs or localized urban heat island amplification, though evening temperatures dropping to 29°C signal the peak has passed without higher readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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