National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) project today's high temperature at 77–84°F under clear skies and lingering offshore flow, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 72°F or higher. Early observations already hit 73°F with continued warming expected through afternoon peaks, exceeding the April climatological average of 72°F amid weak Santa Ana winds and departing cool air advection noted in the latest Area Forecast Discussion (issued April 17). Model ensembles show high confidence in upper-70s to low-80s peaks, supported by recent sunny conditions and high-pressure ridging. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden marine layer thickening or unforecast cold fronts—remain improbable per current guidance, with official LAX measurement resolving the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$32,222 Vol.
$32,222 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
100%
72°F or higher 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$32,222 Vol.
$32,222 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) project today's high temperature at 77–84°F under clear skies and lingering offshore flow, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 72°F or higher. Early observations already hit 73°F with continued warming expected through afternoon peaks, exceeding the April climatological average of 72°F amid weak Santa Ana winds and departing cool air advection noted in the latest Area Forecast Discussion (issued April 17). Model ensembles show high confidence in upper-70s to low-80s peaks, supported by recent sunny conditions and high-pressure ridging. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden marine layer thickening or unforecast cold fronts—remain improbable per current guidance, with official LAX measurement resolving the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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