National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F, driving trader consensus toward 62°F or higher at 45.5% implied probability and 60-61°F at 35.5%, closely matching the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F. This positioning reflects a recent shift from March 2026's record-breaking warmth—Denver's hottest month on record—to a cooler, moister pattern with incoming upper-level trough introducing cloudiness and slight precipitation chances that could cap highs. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact peak heating, with steering winds and boundary layer mixing as key variables; watch for updated NWS forecasts and afternoon model runs resolving potential for minor intensification or suppression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?
62°F or higher 44%
60-61°F 34%
58-59°F 13%
56-57°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
34%
62°F or higher
44%
62°F or higher 44%
60-61°F 34%
58-59°F 13%
56-57°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
43°F or below
$889 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$649 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$330 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$472 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$457 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$360 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$376 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$646 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$586 Vol.
13%
60-61°F
$499 Vol.
34%
62°F or higher
$1,029 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F, driving trader consensus toward 62°F or higher at 45.5% implied probability and 60-61°F at 35.5%, closely matching the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F. This positioning reflects a recent shift from March 2026's record-breaking warmth—Denver's hottest month on record—to a cooler, moister pattern with incoming upper-level trough introducing cloudiness and slight precipitation chances that could cap highs. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact peak heating, with steering winds and boundary layer mixing as key variables; watch for updated NWS forecasts and afternoon model runs resolving potential for minor intensification or suppression.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$6,237End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F, driving trader consensus toward 62°F or higher at 45.5% implied probability and 60-61°F at 35.5%, closely matching the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F. This positioning reflects a recent shift from March 2026's record-breaking warmth—Denver's hottest month on record—to a cooler, moister pattern with incoming upper-level trough introducing cloudiness and slight precipitation chances that could cap highs. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact peak heating, with steering winds and boundary layer mixing as key variables; watch for updated NWS forecasts and afternoon model runs resolving potential for minor intensification or suppression.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,237End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Denver's April 4 high temperature around 58-62°F, driving trader consensus toward 62°F or higher at 45.5% implied probability and 60-61°F at 35.5%, closely matching the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F. This positioning reflects a recent shift from March 2026's record-breaking warmth—Denver's hottest month on record—to a cooler, moister pattern with incoming upper-level trough introducing cloudiness and slight precipitation chances that could cap highs. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact peak heating, with steering winds and boundary layer mixing as key variables; watch for updated NWS forecasts and afternoon model runs resolving potential for minor intensification or suppression.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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