Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project a maximum temperature near 28°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher and 27.5% for exactly 28°C. This positioning stems from a persistent atmospheric blocking high pressure ridge over southern South America—highlighted in the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) March 27 special bulletin warning of 32–38°C peaks extending through April 3—causing subsidence warming and clear skies amid an atypical early-autumn heat event well above the 23°C climatological average. Recent late-March observations of highs around 27°C under low humidity reinforce this outlook, though model spread introduces uncertainty; watch for SMN updates and fresh ensemble runs by April 2, which could refine intensification potential or cloud cover impacts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 3?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 3?
29°C or higher 42%
28°C 28%
27°C 20%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
28%
29°C or higher
42%
29°C or higher 42%
28°C 28%
27°C 20%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
19°C or below
$976 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$624 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$655 Vol.
1%
24°C
$983 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,001 Vol.
4%
26°C
$711 Vol.
7%
27°C
$834 Vol.
20%
28°C
$808 Vol.
28%
29°C or higher
$1,775 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project a maximum temperature near 28°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher and 27.5% for exactly 28°C. This positioning stems from a persistent atmospheric blocking high pressure ridge over southern South America—highlighted in the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) March 27 special bulletin warning of 32–38°C peaks extending through April 3—causing subsidence warming and clear skies amid an atypical early-autumn heat event well above the 23°C climatological average. Recent late-March observations of highs around 27°C under low humidity reinforce this outlook, though model spread introduces uncertainty; watch for SMN updates and fresh ensemble runs by April 2, which could refine intensification potential or cloud cover impacts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$9,562End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project a maximum temperature near 28°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher and 27.5% for exactly 28°C. This positioning stems from a persistent atmospheric blocking high pressure ridge over southern South America—highlighted in the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) March 27 special bulletin warning of 32–38°C peaks extending through April 3—causing subsidence warming and clear skies amid an atypical early-autumn heat event well above the 23°C climatological average. Recent late-March observations of highs around 27°C under low humidity reinforce this outlook, though model spread introduces uncertainty; watch for SMN updates and fresh ensemble runs by April 2, which could refine intensification potential or cloud cover impacts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,562End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project a maximum temperature near 28°C for Buenos Aires on April 3, under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher and 27.5% for exactly 28°C. This positioning stems from a persistent atmospheric blocking high pressure ridge over southern South America—highlighted in the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) March 27 special bulletin warning of 32–38°C peaks extending through April 3—causing subsidence warming and clear skies amid an atypical early-autumn heat event well above the 23°C climatological average. Recent late-March observations of highs around 27°C under low humidity reinforce this outlook, though model spread introduces uncertainty; watch for SMN updates and fresh ensemble runs by April 2, which could refine intensification potential or cloud cover impacts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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