$61,007 Vol.
$61,007 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
$61,007 Vol.
$61,007 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Tehran, the Iranian capital, is experiencing a crisis as a historic drought has led the local water supply to run low. You can read more about that here: https://www.newsweek.com/irans-capital-running-dry-in-historic-water-crisis-10987433.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national government of Iran, the government of Tehran Province, or the government of Tehran Municipality, including the Tehran City Council, orders a major evacuation of the city of Tehran due to the ongoing water crisis by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A major evacuation order is defined as an official government order mandating or instructing a majority of Tehran’s residents to leave the city. The order must explicitly reference the ongoing water shortage or associated infrastructure failure as a primary reason for evacuation to qualify for resolution.
A limited evacuation order affecting only a minority of the residential population of the city of Tehran, or an evacuation order due primarily to reasons other than the ongoing water crisis will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Tehran, the Iranian capital, is experiencing a crisis as a historic drought has led the local water supply to run low. You can read more about that here: https://www.newsweek.com/irans-capital-running-dry-in-historic-water-crisis-10987433.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national government of Iran, the government of Tehran Province, or the government of Tehran Municipality, including the Tehran City Council, orders a major evacuation of the city of Tehran due to the ongoing water crisis by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A major evacuation order is defined as an official government order mandating or instructing a majority of Tehran’s residents to leave the city. The order must explicitly reference the ongoing water shortage or associated infrastructure failure as a primary reason for evacuation to qualify for resolution.
A limited evacuation order affecting only a minority of the residential population of the city of Tehran, or an evacuation order due primarily to reasons other than the ongoing water crisis will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national government of Iran, the government of Tehran Province, or the government of Tehran Municipality, including the Tehran City Council, orders a major evacuation of the city of Tehran due to the ongoing water crisis by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A major evacuation order is defined as an official government order mandating or instructing a majority of Tehran’s residents to leave the city. The order must explicitly reference the ongoing water shortage or associated infrastructure failure as a primary reason for evacuation to qualify for resolution.
A limited evacuation order affecting only a minority of the residential population of the city of Tehran, or an evacuation order due primarily to reasons other than the ongoing water crisis will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 7, 2025, 2:23 AM ET
Volume
$61,007End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 2:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Tehran, the Iranian capital, is experiencing a crisis as a historic drought has led the local water supply to run low. You can read more about that here: https://www.newsweek.com/irans-capital-running-dry-in-historic-water-crisis-10987433.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national government of Iran, the government of Tehran Province, or the government of Tehran Municipality, including the Tehran City Council, orders a major evacuation of the city of Tehran due to the ongoing water crisis by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A major evacuation order is defined as an official government order mandating or instructing a majority of Tehran’s residents to leave the city. The order must explicitly reference the ongoing water shortage or associated infrastructure failure as a primary reason for evacuation to qualify for resolution.
A limited evacuation order affecting only a minority of the residential population of the city of Tehran, or an evacuation order due primarily to reasons other than the ongoing water crisis will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Tehran, the Iranian capital, is experiencing a crisis as a historic drought has led the local water supply to run low. You can read more about that here: https://www.newsweek.com/irans-capital-running-dry-in-historic-water-crisis-10987433.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national government of Iran, the government of Tehran Province, or the government of Tehran Municipality, including the Tehran City Council, orders a major evacuation of the city of Tehran due to the ongoing water crisis by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A major evacuation order is defined as an official government order mandating or instructing a majority of Tehran’s residents to leave the city. The order must explicitly reference the ongoing water shortage or associated infrastructure failure as a primary reason for evacuation to qualify for resolution.
A limited evacuation order affecting only a minority of the residential population of the city of Tehran, or an evacuation order due primarily to reasons other than the ongoing water crisis will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national government of Iran, the government of Tehran Province, or the government of Tehran Municipality, including the Tehran City Council, orders a major evacuation of the city of Tehran due to the ongoing water crisis by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A major evacuation order is defined as an official government order mandating or instructing a majority of Tehran’s residents to leave the city. The order must explicitly reference the ongoing water shortage or associated infrastructure failure as a primary reason for evacuation to qualify for resolution.
A limited evacuation order affecting only a minority of the residential population of the city of Tehran, or an evacuation order due primarily to reasons other than the ongoing water crisis will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$61,007End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 2:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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