Arsenal's commanding position atop the Premier League table with 70 points from 31 matches—nine clear of Manchester City despite the Citizens' game in hand—drives their 86.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, bolstered by a +39 goal difference, recent form of four wins in five (WWWW D), and a relatively favorable run-in including home games against mid-table sides. City's recent results (WWW D D) show momentum, but vulnerabilities exposed in draws against West Ham and Nottingham Forest, plus an upcoming Etihad clash on April 19, keep them at 13.5%. Challengers like Manchester United, Aston Villa, and Liverpool trail by 15+ points, rendering upsets improbable barring Arsenal collapses from injuries, suspensions, or multiple slip-ups in the final seven matchdays.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 87%
Man City 14%
Man United <1%
Liverpool <1%
$313,750,494 Vol.
$313,750,494 Vol.
Arsenal
87%
Man City
14%
Man United
<1%
Liverpool
<1%
Aston Villa
<1%
Arsenal 87%
Man City 14%
Man United <1%
Liverpool <1%
$313,750,494 Vol.
$313,750,494 Vol.
Arsenal
87%
Man City
14%
Man United
<1%
Liverpool
<1%
Aston Villa
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2025, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal's commanding position atop the Premier League table with 70 points from 31 matches—nine clear of Manchester City despite the Citizens' game in hand—drives their 86.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, bolstered by a +39 goal difference, recent form of four wins in five (WWWW D), and a relatively favorable run-in including home games against mid-table sides. City's recent results (WWW D D) show momentum, but vulnerabilities exposed in draws against West Ham and Nottingham Forest, plus an upcoming Etihad clash on April 19, keep them at 13.5%. Challengers like Manchester United, Aston Villa, and Liverpool trail by 15+ points, rendering upsets improbable barring Arsenal collapses from injuries, suspensions, or multiple slip-ups in the final seven matchdays.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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