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Bikinis back on X by January 16?

Market icon

Bikinis back on X by January 16?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$69,880 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$69,880 Vol.

XAI’s Grok Chatbot put limitations on X-reply-prompted image generation in place for some users this week in response to users “digitally undressing” people (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/business/grok-image-generation-undressing-deepfake).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that restrictions on Grok image generation through X posts and replies, including generation of images of users in a bikini, have been lifted for a majority of X users including users who are not paid subscribers to either Grok or X by January 16, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official announcements from XAI or X, or evidence from Grok on X will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution sources for this market will be evidence of Grok image-generation on X, official information from XAI, X, and a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$69,880
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
XAI’s Grok Chatbot put limitations on X-reply-prompted image generation in place for some users this week in response to users “digitally undressing” people (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/business/grok-image-generation-undressing-deepfake). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that restrictions on Grok image generation through X posts and replies, including generation of images of users in a bikini, have been lifted for a majority of X users including users who are not paid subscribers to either Grok or X by January 16, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from XAI or X, or evidence from Grok on X will be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution sources for this market will be evidence of Grok image-generation on X, official information from XAI, X, and a consensus of credible sources.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

XAI’s Grok Chatbot put limitations on X-reply-prompted image generation in place for some users this week in response to users “digitally undressing” people (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/business/grok-image-generation-undressing-deepfake).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that restrictions on Grok image generation through X posts and replies, including generation of images of users in a bikini, have been lifted for a majority of X users including users who are not paid subscribers to either Grok or X by January 16, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official announcements from XAI or X, or evidence from Grok on X will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution sources for this market will be evidence of Grok image-generation on X, official information from XAI, X, and a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$69,880
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
XAI’s Grok Chatbot put limitations on X-reply-prompted image generation in place for some users this week in response to users “digitally undressing” people (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/business/grok-image-generation-undressing-deepfake). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that restrictions on Grok image generation through X posts and replies, including generation of images of users in a bikini, have been lifted for a majority of X users including users who are not paid subscribers to either Grok or X by January 16, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from XAI or X, or evidence from Grok on X will be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution sources for this market will be evidence of Grok image-generation on X, official information from XAI, X, and a consensus of credible sources.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bikinis back on X by January 16?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bikinis back on X by January 16?" has generated $69.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bikinis back on X by January 16?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Bikinis back on X by January 16?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Bikinis back on X by January 16?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.