Scottie Scheffler's elite Augusta National course history, including victories in 2022 and 2024 plus the lowest career scoring average, anchors his trader consensus as 16.5% implied probability favorite amid consistent 2026 form like his American Express win and top-five finishes at Pebble Beach and Phoenix Open. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm, both at 7.5% and 7.2%, surged on LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's back-to-back wins capped by a playoff victory over Rahm last week in South Africa—highlighting their power off the tee and recent par-5 dominance ideal for Augusta's layout. Rory McIlroy's 7.5% reflects defending champion status from 2025 despite a pedestrian Players Championship finish and skipped Houston Open prep, while Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele at 5.3% draw support from steady ball-striking and top-10 Augusta records. Mild Augusta weather with possible morning showers adds minimal disruption to this competitive field emphasizing precision approaches and scrambling around Amen Corner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.2%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,372,540 Vol.
$60,372,540 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.2%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,372,540 Vol.
$60,372,540 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite Augusta National course history, including victories in 2022 and 2024 plus the lowest career scoring average, anchors his trader consensus as 16.5% implied probability favorite amid consistent 2026 form like his American Express win and top-five finishes at Pebble Beach and Phoenix Open. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm, both at 7.5% and 7.2%, surged on LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's back-to-back wins capped by a playoff victory over Rahm last week in South Africa—highlighting their power off the tee and recent par-5 dominance ideal for Augusta's layout. Rory McIlroy's 7.5% reflects defending champion status from 2025 despite a pedestrian Players Championship finish and skipped Houston Open prep, while Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele at 5.3% draw support from steady ball-striking and top-10 Augusta records. Mild Augusta weather with possible morning showers adds minimal disruption to this competitive field emphasizing precision approaches and scrambling around Amen Corner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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