Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,467,620 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,467,620 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$806,383 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$229,336 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$443,320 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$190,734 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$366,907 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,412,604 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,369,161 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,757,824 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$398,278 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$267,395 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$304,862 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$401,001 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,810,761 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$325,906 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$214,521 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$198,016 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$309,743 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$822,772 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,993,864 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,626,023 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,060,520 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$295,247 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$697,740 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$233,709 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$163,642 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,625,096 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$226,951 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,271,012 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$203,886 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,767,759 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$241,368 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$154,362 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$145,757 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$138,306 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$162,614 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$220,802 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$287,697 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$442,618 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$153,944 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$336,266 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$283,368 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$629,287 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$314,278 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$291,832 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$507,794 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$389,483 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$474,737 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$219,137 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$250,294 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$383,006 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$674,142 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$821,539 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$458,859 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$846,841 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$650,881 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$267,381 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$655,038 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$843,521 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$427,850 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance and strong Augusta National course history, including multiple green jackets, but his last-minute withdrawal from the Houston Open for personal reasons—foregoing a key tune-up—has tempered expectations amid an uneven Players Championship where he barely advanced before a bogey-free third round. Bryson DeChambeau's scorching LIV Golf form, with back-to-back wins capped by a playoff victory over Jon Rahm in South Africa last weekend, elevates both to 7.5% and 7.4%, while defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% despite back concerns and a shaky Players cut-line battle. A deep field boasting elite strokes gained tee-to-green performers like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele, plus mild Augusta weather forecasts, underscores the tight, competitive dynamics with no clear dominant favorite.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,467,620
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking dominance and strong Augusta National course history, including multiple green jackets, but his last-minute withdrawal from the Houston Open for personal reasons—foregoing a key tune-up—has tempered expectations amid an uneven Players Championship where he barely advanced before a bogey-free third round. Bryson DeChambeau's scorching LIV Golf form, with back-to-back wins capped by a playoff victory over Jon Rahm in South Africa last weekend, elevates both to 7.5% and 7.4%, while defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% despite back concerns and a shaky Players cut-line battle. A deep field boasting elite strokes gained tee-to-green performers like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele, plus mild Augusta weather forecasts, underscores the tight, competitive dynamics with no clear dominant favorite.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,467,620
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?

35%
Market icon

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

35%
Market icon

Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

36%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $62.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.