Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus for the Masters winner at 15.5% implied probability, reflecting his world No. 1 status, 2024 title defense at Augusta National, and elite ball-striking entering the week's practice rounds where he looked dialed in. The tightly bunched top outcomes underscore competitive dynamics on the demanding layout, with Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) surging on LIV momentum and U.S. Open pedigree suiting Augusta's par-5 bombers, Rory McIlroy (7.5%) chasing the career Grand Slam after strong recent finishes, and Jon Rahm (6.8%) leveraging major experience despite LIV transition. Ludvig Aberg (5.5%) builds on last year's debut runner-up, while clear weather and no key injuries keep the deep field viable for course history upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 6.7%
$56,939,490 Vol.
$56,939,490 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Tiger Woods
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 6.7%
$56,939,490 Vol.
$56,939,490 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Tiger Woods
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus for the Masters winner at 15.5% implied probability, reflecting his world No. 1 status, 2024 title defense at Augusta National, and elite ball-striking entering the week's practice rounds where he looked dialed in. The tightly bunched top outcomes underscore competitive dynamics on the demanding layout, with Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) surging on LIV momentum and U.S. Open pedigree suiting Augusta's par-5 bombers, Rory McIlroy (7.5%) chasing the career Grand Slam after strong recent finishes, and Jon Rahm (6.8%) leveraging major experience despite LIV transition. Ludvig Aberg (5.5%) builds on last year's debut runner-up, while clear weather and no key injuries keep the deep field viable for course history upsets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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