Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight tracking estimates for Andy Serkis' animated Animal Farm, with implied probabilities highest for a $2.5-3 million opening weekend driven by recent industry forecasts like $2.7 million from Toddmthatcher and $1.5-5 million ranges from Box Office Theory as of late April. Weak late presales, backlash over the trailer's kid-friendly spin on Orwell's dystopian satire—criticized for diluting its anti-totalitarian bite—and light marketing from Angel Studios have capped expectations below earlier $5-7 million projections. Fierce competition from The Devil Wears Prada 2's $70 million-plus debut adds pressure, though family walkups or core Angel audiences could push toward $4 million; Thursday previews will be pivotal before May 1 bow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office
>4m 44%
2.5-3m 37%
2-2.5m 22%
3-3.5m 18%
<2m
6%
2-2.5m
22%
2.5-3m
37%
3-3.5m
15%
3.5-4m
-
>4m
44%
>4m 44%
2.5-3m 37%
2-2.5m 22%
3-3.5m 18%
<2m
6%
2-2.5m
22%
2.5-3m
37%
3-3.5m
15%
3.5-4m
-
>4m
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight tracking estimates for Andy Serkis' animated Animal Farm, with implied probabilities highest for a $2.5-3 million opening weekend driven by recent industry forecasts like $2.7 million from Toddmthatcher and $1.5-5 million ranges from Box Office Theory as of late April. Weak late presales, backlash over the trailer's kid-friendly spin on Orwell's dystopian satire—criticized for diluting its anti-totalitarian bite—and light marketing from Angel Studios have capped expectations below earlier $5-7 million projections. Fierce competition from The Devil Wears Prada 2's $70 million-plus debut adds pressure, though family walkups or core Angel audiences could push toward $4 million; Thursday previews will be pivotal before May 1 bow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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