Market icon

What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?

$105,860 Vol.

Aug 10, 2022
Polymarket

"This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from June to July 2022.

Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.3 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from June to July 2022 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 10, 2022, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%, 0.6%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.4%, this market will resolve to “Yes”)."
Volume
$105,860
End Date
Aug 10, 2022
Created At
Jul 12, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
"This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from June to July 2022. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.3 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from June to July 2022 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 10, 2022, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ------------------------- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%, 0.6%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.4%, this market will resolve to “Yes”)."

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "More than 0.3%" at 0%, followed by "More than 0.5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" has generated $105.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 13, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" is "More than 0.3%" at just 0%, with "More than 0.5%" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?

$105,860 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

More than 0.3%

$50,429 Vol.

No

Market icon

More than 0.5%

$39,075 Vol.

No

Market icon

More than 0.7%

$16,356 Vol.

No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "More than 0.3%" at 0%, followed by "More than 0.5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" has generated $105.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 13, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" is "More than 0.3%" at just 0%, with "More than 0.5%" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will U.S. inflation be from June to July 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.