Trader consensus at the Texas Children's Houston Open reflects a tightly contested leaderboard after the first round at Memorial Park Golf Course, where Zach Bauchou, Thorbjorn Olesen, Takumi Kanaya, and Trey Mullinax share the lead or sit one stroke back at 7-under, driving their elevated implied probabilities around 38-40%. This wide-open field stems from favorable scoring conditions with minimal wind, allowing aggressive birdie runs from under-the-radar players while pre-tournament favorites like Tony Finau (13%) and Sam Burns (10.6%) posted even-par or worse openers, fading early. Course history favors bombers on the long par-71 layout, but putting prowess and weekend consistency will decide as Round 2 tees off, keeping the race volatile with 30-plus players under par and no one dominating statistically yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedChris Kirk 29.6%
Eric Cole 25.7%
Austin Eckroat 24.8%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 20.1%
$420,359 Vol.
$420,359 Vol.
Chris Kirk
23%
Eric Cole
26%
Austin Eckroat
25%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
20%
Sam Burns
11%
Marco Penge
7%
Kurt Kitayama
6%
Min Woo Lee
6%
Denny McCarthy
6%
Johnny Keefer
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Garrick Higgo
5%
Michael Brennan
24%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Rickie Fowler
3%
Rasmus Hojgaard
3%
Sung-Jae Im
3%
Chad Ramey
3%
Keith Mitchell
3%
Jake Knapp
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Ben Griffin
2%
Harris English
2%
Harry Hall
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Pierceson Coody
2%
Ryan Fox
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Tom Hoge
1%
Tony Finau
13%
Aaron Rai
1%
Cole Hammer
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
25%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Davis Riley
-
Patrick Rodgers
27%
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
-
Tom Kim
-
Patton Kizzire
-
Henry Lebioda
-
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
28%
Max McGreevy
-
Mac Meissner
25%
William Mouw
25%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
-
Daniel Brown
26%
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
38%
John Parry
-
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chandler Phillips
-
JT Poston
-
Bronson Burgoon
29%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Luke Clanton
-
Jason Day
29%
Nicolas Echavarria
-
A.J. Ewart
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
31%
David Ford
-
Brice Garnett
-
Max Greyserman
25%
Emiliano Grillo
-
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Rico Hoey
-
Charley Hoffman
-
Billy Horschel
29%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
28%
Chris Kirk 29.6%
Eric Cole 25.7%
Austin Eckroat 24.8%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 20.1%
$420,359 Vol.
$420,359 Vol.
Chris Kirk
23%
Eric Cole
26%
Austin Eckroat
25%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
20%
Sam Burns
11%
Marco Penge
7%
Kurt Kitayama
6%
Min Woo Lee
6%
Denny McCarthy
6%
Johnny Keefer
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Garrick Higgo
5%
Michael Brennan
24%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Rickie Fowler
3%
Rasmus Hojgaard
3%
Sung-Jae Im
3%
Chad Ramey
3%
Keith Mitchell
3%
Jake Knapp
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Ben Griffin
2%
Harris English
2%
Harry Hall
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Pierceson Coody
2%
Ryan Fox
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Tom Hoge
1%
Tony Finau
13%
Aaron Rai
1%
Cole Hammer
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Christo Lamprecht
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
25%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Davis Riley
-
Patrick Rodgers
27%
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
-
Tom Kim
-
Patton Kizzire
-
Henry Lebioda
-
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
28%
Max McGreevy
-
Mac Meissner
25%
William Mouw
25%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
-
Daniel Brown
26%
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
38%
John Parry
-
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chandler Phillips
-
JT Poston
-
Bronson Burgoon
29%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Luke Clanton
-
Jason Day
29%
Nicolas Echavarria
-
A.J. Ewart
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
31%
David Ford
-
Brice Garnett
-
Max Greyserman
25%
Emiliano Grillo
-
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Rico Hoey
-
Charley Hoffman
-
Billy Horschel
29%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
28%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus at the Texas Children's Houston Open reflects a tightly contested leaderboard after the first round at Memorial Park Golf Course, where Zach Bauchou, Thorbjorn Olesen, Takumi Kanaya, and Trey Mullinax share the lead or sit one stroke back at 7-under, driving their elevated implied probabilities around 38-40%. This wide-open field stems from favorable scoring conditions with minimal wind, allowing aggressive birdie runs from under-the-radar players while pre-tournament favorites like Tony Finau (13%) and Sam Burns (10.6%) posted even-par or worse openers, fading early. Course history favors bombers on the long par-71 layout, but putting prowess and weekend consistency will decide as Round 2 tees off, keeping the race volatile with 30-plus players under par and no one dominating statistically yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions