Michael Kim holds a narrow lead on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 65 in round three at the Texas Children's Houston Open, propelling his implied probability to 47% as traders reward his superior putting on Memorial Park's demanding greens. Brice Garnett, Pontus Nyholm, Tom Hoge, and Rafael Campos lurk within one stroke, their 40% clustering reflecting hot irons and recent birdie streaks that erased earlier deficits amid favorable scoring conditions. The bunched top reflects the field's parity, with no player dominating statistically—Kim leads in strokes gained putting, but challengers excel in approach play and have stronger course history splits. Calm winds boosted round-three averages, tightening the race into Sunday's final round, where pin placements and pressure could swing the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBronson Burgoon 39.6%
Matt McCarty 38.0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 36.9%
Ryo Hisatsune 35.0%
$392,708 Vol.
$392,708 Vol.
Bronson Burgoon
40%
Matt McCarty
38%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
37%
Ryo Hisatsune
35%
Cam Davis
34%
Austin Eckroat
31%
Ricky Castillo
31%
Stephan Jaeger
31%
Rico Hoey
30%
Shane Lowry
29%
Wyndham Clark
29%
Max McGreevy
27%
A.J. Ewart
27%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
26%
Ben Griffin
8%
Marco Penge
7%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Ze-Cheng Dou
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Sung-Jae Im
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Denny McCarthy
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Michael Brennan
3%
Ryan Fox
3%
Rasmus Hojgaard
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Patrick Rodgers
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Aaron Rai
3%
Pierceson Coody
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Ryan Gerard
9%
Chandler Phillips
6%
JT Poston
21%
Kristoffer Reitan
33%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Johnny Keefer
33%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
32%
Tom Kim
30%
Chris Kirk
28%
Patton Kizzire
33%
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
30%
Mac Meissner
34%
Keith Mitchell
36%
William Mouw
33%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
33%
Daniel Brown
31%
David Lipsky
31%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
35%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chad Ramey
37%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Davis Chatfield
-
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
26%
Jason Day
32%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
33%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
31%
David Ford
30%
Brice Garnett
-
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
30%
Emiliano Grillo
32%
Harry Hall
35%
Cole Hammer
32%
Garrick Higgo
32%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
-
Tom Hoge
37%
Billy Horschel
37%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
31%
Bronson Burgoon 39.6%
Matt McCarty 38.0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 36.9%
Ryo Hisatsune 35.0%
$392,708 Vol.
$392,708 Vol.
Bronson Burgoon
40%
Matt McCarty
38%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
37%
Ryo Hisatsune
35%
Cam Davis
34%
Austin Eckroat
31%
Ricky Castillo
31%
Stephan Jaeger
31%
Rico Hoey
30%
Shane Lowry
29%
Wyndham Clark
29%
Max McGreevy
27%
A.J. Ewart
27%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
26%
Ben Griffin
8%
Marco Penge
7%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Ze-Cheng Dou
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Sung-Jae Im
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Denny McCarthy
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Michael Brennan
3%
Ryan Fox
3%
Rasmus Hojgaard
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Patrick Rodgers
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Aaron Rai
3%
Pierceson Coody
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Ryan Gerard
9%
Chandler Phillips
6%
JT Poston
21%
Kristoffer Reitan
33%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Johnny Keefer
33%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
32%
Tom Kim
30%
Chris Kirk
28%
Patton Kizzire
33%
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
30%
Mac Meissner
34%
Keith Mitchell
36%
William Mouw
33%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
33%
Daniel Brown
31%
David Lipsky
31%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
35%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chad Ramey
37%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Davis Chatfield
-
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
26%
Jason Day
32%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
33%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
31%
David Ford
30%
Brice Garnett
-
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
30%
Emiliano Grillo
32%
Harry Hall
35%
Cole Hammer
32%
Garrick Higgo
32%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
-
Tom Hoge
37%
Billy Horschel
37%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
31%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael Kim holds a narrow lead on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 65 in round three at the Texas Children's Houston Open, propelling his implied probability to 47% as traders reward his superior putting on Memorial Park's demanding greens. Brice Garnett, Pontus Nyholm, Tom Hoge, and Rafael Campos lurk within one stroke, their 40% clustering reflecting hot irons and recent birdie streaks that erased earlier deficits amid favorable scoring conditions. The bunched top reflects the field's parity, with no player dominating statistically—Kim leads in strokes gained putting, but challengers excel in approach play and have stronger course history splits. Calm winds boosted round-three averages, tightening the race into Sunday's final round, where pin placements and pressure could swing the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions