Michael Kim holds a narrow lead on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 65 in round three at the Texas Children's Houston Open, propelling his implied probability to 47% as traders reward his superior putting on Memorial Park's demanding greens. Brice Garnett, Pontus Nyholm, Tom Hoge, and Rafael Campos lurk within one stroke, their 40% clustering reflecting hot irons and recent birdie streaks that erased earlier deficits amid favorable scoring conditions. The bunched top reflects the field's parity, with no player dominating statistically—Kim leads in strokes gained putting, but challengers excel in approach play and have stronger course history splits. Calm winds boosted round-three averages, tightening the race into Sunday's final round, where pin placements and pressure could swing the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMatt McCarty 36.5%
Ryo Hisatsune 34.6%
Wyndham Clark 33.6%
Cam Davis 33.4%
$392,717 Vol.
$392,717 Vol.
Matt McCarty
37%
Ryo Hisatsune
35%
Wyndham Clark
34%
Cam Davis
33%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
33%
Rico Hoey
30%
Austin Eckroat
29%
Harry Hall
29%
Bronson Burgoon
28%
Stephan Jaeger
27%
Max McGreevy
27%
A.J. Ewart
26%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
24%
Shane Lowry
21%
Ben Griffin
8%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Marco Penge
6%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Chandler Phillips
5%
Denny McCarthy
4%
Sam Burns
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Rasmus Hojgaard
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Rickie Fowler
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Michael Brennan
3%
Patrick Rodgers
3%
Aaron Rai
3%
Aldrich Potgieter
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Ryan Fox
21%
Sung-Jae Im
9%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
6%
JT Poston
19%
Tony Finau
24%
Kristoffer Reitan
31%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Johnny Keefer
32%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
31%
Tom Kim
30%
Chris Kirk
32%
Kurt Kitayama
29%
Patton Kizzire
-
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
32%
Mac Meissner
32%
Keith Mitchell
29%
William Mouw
31%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
32%
Daniel Brown
30%
Marcelo Rozo
-
David Lipsky
33%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
34%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chad Ramey
32%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Ricky Castillo
31%
Davis Chatfield
38%
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
30%
Jason Day
30%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
35%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
31%
David Ford
30%
Brice Garnett
-
Ryan Gerard
33%
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
33%
Emiliano Grillo
32%
Cole Hammer
31%
Garrick Higgo
27%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
36%
Tom Hoge
30%
Billy Horschel
31%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
29%
Matt McCarty 36.5%
Ryo Hisatsune 34.6%
Wyndham Clark 33.6%
Cam Davis 33.4%
$392,717 Vol.
$392,717 Vol.
Matt McCarty
37%
Ryo Hisatsune
35%
Wyndham Clark
34%
Cam Davis
33%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
33%
Rico Hoey
30%
Austin Eckroat
29%
Harry Hall
29%
Bronson Burgoon
28%
Stephan Jaeger
27%
Max McGreevy
27%
A.J. Ewart
26%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
24%
Shane Lowry
21%
Ben Griffin
8%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Marco Penge
6%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Chandler Phillips
5%
Denny McCarthy
4%
Sam Burns
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Rasmus Hojgaard
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Rickie Fowler
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Michael Brennan
3%
Patrick Rodgers
3%
Aaron Rai
3%
Aldrich Potgieter
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Ryan Fox
21%
Sung-Jae Im
9%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
6%
JT Poston
19%
Tony Finau
24%
Kristoffer Reitan
31%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Johnny Keefer
32%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
31%
Tom Kim
30%
Chris Kirk
32%
Kurt Kitayama
29%
Patton Kizzire
-
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
32%
Mac Meissner
32%
Keith Mitchell
29%
William Mouw
31%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
32%
Daniel Brown
30%
Marcelo Rozo
-
David Lipsky
33%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
34%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chad Ramey
32%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Ricky Castillo
31%
Davis Chatfield
38%
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
30%
Jason Day
30%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
35%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
31%
David Ford
30%
Brice Garnett
-
Ryan Gerard
33%
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
33%
Emiliano Grillo
32%
Cole Hammer
31%
Garrick Higgo
27%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
36%
Tom Hoge
30%
Billy Horschel
31%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
29%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael Kim holds a narrow lead on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 65 in round three at the Texas Children's Houston Open, propelling his implied probability to 47% as traders reward his superior putting on Memorial Park's demanding greens. Brice Garnett, Pontus Nyholm, Tom Hoge, and Rafael Campos lurk within one stroke, their 40% clustering reflecting hot irons and recent birdie streaks that erased earlier deficits amid favorable scoring conditions. The bunched top reflects the field's parity, with no player dominating statistically—Kim leads in strokes gained putting, but challengers excel in approach play and have stronger course history splits. Calm winds boosted round-three averages, tightening the race into Sunday's final round, where pin placements and pressure could swing the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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