Michael Kim holds a narrow lead on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 65 in round three at the Texas Children's Houston Open, propelling his implied probability to 47% as traders reward his superior putting on Memorial Park's demanding greens. Brice Garnett, Pontus Nyholm, Tom Hoge, and Rafael Campos lurk within one stroke, their 40% clustering reflecting hot irons and recent birdie streaks that erased earlier deficits amid favorable scoring conditions. The bunched top reflects the field's parity, with no player dominating statistically—Kim leads in strokes gained putting, but challengers excel in approach play and have stronger course history splits. Calm winds boosted round-three averages, tightening the race into Sunday's final round, where pin placements and pressure could swing the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBronson Burgoon 39.0%
Matt McCarty 37.9%
Harry Hall 34.9%
Ryo Hisatsune 34.9%
$392,709 Vol.
$392,709 Vol.
Bronson Burgoon
39%
Matt McCarty
38%
Harry Hall
35%
Ryo Hisatsune
35%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
34%
Cam Davis
34%
Austin Eckroat
31%
Rico Hoey
30%
Stephan Jaeger
30%
Shane Lowry
30%
Max McGreevy
27%
Wyndham Clark
27%
A.J. Ewart
26%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
26%
Ben Griffin
15%
Marco Penge
7%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chandler Phillips
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Ze-Cheng Dou
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Sung-Jae Im
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Rasmus Hojgaard
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Denny McCarthy
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Pierceson Coody
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Patrick Rodgers
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Michael Brennan
2%
Aaron Rai
2%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
JT Poston
22%
Kristoffer Reitan
33%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Johnny Keefer
33%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
32%
Tom Kim
30%
Chris Kirk
38%
Patton Kizzire
-
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
30%
Mac Meissner
34%
Keith Mitchell
35%
William Mouw
33%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
33%
Daniel Brown
31%
David Lipsky
37%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
35%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chad Ramey
36%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Ricky Castillo
31%
Davis Chatfield
39%
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
26%
Jason Day
32%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
38%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
36%
David Ford
30%
Ryan Fox
31%
Brice Garnett
-
Ryan Gerard
34%
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
30%
Emiliano Grillo
32%
Cole Hammer
32%
Garrick Higgo
31%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
38%
Tom Hoge
35%
Billy Horschel
36%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
31%
Bronson Burgoon 39.0%
Matt McCarty 37.9%
Harry Hall 34.9%
Ryo Hisatsune 34.9%
$392,709 Vol.
$392,709 Vol.
Bronson Burgoon
39%
Matt McCarty
38%
Harry Hall
35%
Ryo Hisatsune
35%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
34%
Cam Davis
34%
Austin Eckroat
31%
Rico Hoey
30%
Stephan Jaeger
30%
Shane Lowry
30%
Max McGreevy
27%
Wyndham Clark
27%
A.J. Ewart
26%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
26%
Ben Griffin
15%
Marco Penge
7%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chandler Phillips
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Ze-Cheng Dou
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Sung-Jae Im
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Rasmus Hojgaard
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Denny McCarthy
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Pierceson Coody
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Patrick Rodgers
2%
Aldrich Potgieter
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Michael Brennan
2%
Aaron Rai
2%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
JT Poston
22%
Kristoffer Reitan
33%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Johnny Keefer
33%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
32%
Tom Kim
30%
Chris Kirk
38%
Patton Kizzire
-
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
30%
Mac Meissner
34%
Keith Mitchell
35%
William Mouw
33%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
33%
Daniel Brown
31%
David Lipsky
37%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
35%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Chad Ramey
36%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Ricky Castillo
31%
Davis Chatfield
39%
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
26%
Jason Day
32%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
38%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
36%
David Ford
30%
Ryan Fox
31%
Brice Garnett
-
Ryan Gerard
34%
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
30%
Emiliano Grillo
32%
Cole Hammer
32%
Garrick Higgo
31%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
38%
Tom Hoge
35%
Billy Horschel
36%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
31%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael Kim holds a narrow lead on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 65 in round three at the Texas Children's Houston Open, propelling his implied probability to 47% as traders reward his superior putting on Memorial Park's demanding greens. Brice Garnett, Pontus Nyholm, Tom Hoge, and Rafael Campos lurk within one stroke, their 40% clustering reflecting hot irons and recent birdie streaks that erased earlier deficits amid favorable scoring conditions. The bunched top reflects the field's parity, with no player dominating statistically—Kim leads in strokes gained putting, but challengers excel in approach play and have stronger course history splits. Calm winds boosted round-three averages, tightening the race into Sunday's final round, where pin placements and pressure could swing the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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