Trader consensus on the Texas Children's Houston Open winner market shows an ultra-tight race at the top, with Kyoung-Hoon Lee (43.7%) edging Michael Kim (43.6%) and Brian Campbell (39.3%) amid a logjam after Round 1 at Memorial Park Golf Course. These mid-tier contenders surged via hot starts—low 60s highlighted by birdie barrages and superior putting on the firm, fast greens—elevating their implied probabilities in the 156-player field. No dominant favorites emerged early, as wind-sheltered conditions favored aggressive play, while lurking big names like Wyndham Clark (36.3%) trail by 1-2 strokes. Historical data indicates first-round leaders convert at ~10%, underscoring weekend volatility from approach demands, fatigue, and potential weather shifts keeping odds bunched and the outcome wide open.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMatt McCarty 35.4%
Aaron Rai 34.8%
Wyndham Clark 34.8%
Ryo Hisatsune 34.2%
$392,729 Vol.
$392,729 Vol.
Matt McCarty
35%
Aaron Rai
35%
Wyndham Clark
35%
Ryo Hisatsune
34%
Harry Hall
34%
Cam Davis
33%
Marco Penge
32%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
31%
Pierceson Coody
29%
Austin Eckroat
28%
Bronson Burgoon
27%
Rasmus Hojgaard
26%
A.J. Ewart
26%
Max McGreevy
21%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
21%
Rico Hoey
13%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
12%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Rickie Fowler
6%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Ben Griffin
4%
Denny McCarthy
4%
Michael Brennan
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Sung-Jae Im
3%
Stephan Jaeger
3%
Shane Lowry
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Ryan Fox
2%
Tony Finau
2%
Patrick Rodgers
9%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
7%
Chandler Phillips
6%
Johnny Keefer
25%
JT Poston
17%
Kristoffer Reitan
32%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
31%
Tom Kim
28%
Chris Kirk
26%
Kurt Kitayama
28%
Patton Kizzire
-
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
30%
Mac Meissner
30%
Keith Mitchell
35%
William Mouw
30%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
31%
Daniel Brown
30%
Marcelo Rozo
-
David Lipsky
33%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
29%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Aldrich Potgieter
33%
Chad Ramey
29%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Davis Chatfield
37%
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
28%
Jason Day
28%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
34%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
27%
David Ford
28%
Brice Garnett
-
Ryan Gerard
34%
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
33%
Emiliano Grillo
26%
Cole Hammer
31%
Garrick Higgo
26%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
32%
Tom Hoge
29%
Billy Horschel
31%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
28%
Matt McCarty 35.4%
Aaron Rai 34.8%
Wyndham Clark 34.8%
Ryo Hisatsune 34.2%
$392,729 Vol.
$392,729 Vol.
Matt McCarty
35%
Aaron Rai
35%
Wyndham Clark
35%
Ryo Hisatsune
34%
Harry Hall
34%
Cam Davis
33%
Marco Penge
32%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
31%
Pierceson Coody
29%
Austin Eckroat
28%
Bronson Burgoon
27%
Rasmus Hojgaard
26%
A.J. Ewart
26%
Max McGreevy
21%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
21%
Rico Hoey
13%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
12%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Rickie Fowler
6%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Sam Burns
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Ben Griffin
4%
Denny McCarthy
4%
Michael Brennan
4%
Bud Cauley
3%
Sung-Jae Im
3%
Stephan Jaeger
3%
Shane Lowry
3%
Taylor Pendrith
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Ryan Fox
2%
Tony Finau
2%
Patrick Rodgers
9%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
7%
Chandler Phillips
6%
Johnny Keefer
25%
JT Poston
17%
Kristoffer Reitan
32%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
31%
Tom Kim
28%
Chris Kirk
26%
Kurt Kitayama
28%
Patton Kizzire
-
Christo Lamprecht
-
Henry Lebioda
31%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Hao-Tong Li
30%
Mac Meissner
30%
Keith Mitchell
35%
William Mouw
30%
Zach Bauchou
-
Chandler Blanchet
31%
Daniel Brown
30%
Marcelo Rozo
-
David Lipsky
33%
Peter Malnati
-
Trey Mullinax
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
29%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Aldrich Potgieter
33%
Chad Ramey
29%
Brian Campbell
-
Rafael Campos
-
Davis Chatfield
37%
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
28%
Jason Day
28%
Nick Dunlap
-
Harris English
34%
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
27%
David Ford
28%
Brice Garnett
-
Ryan Gerard
34%
Lucas Glover
-
Max Greyserman
33%
Emiliano Grillo
26%
Cole Hammer
31%
Garrick Higgo
26%
Joe Highsmith
-
Kensei Hirata
-
Lee Hodges
-
Charley Hoffman
32%
Tom Hoge
29%
Billy Horschel
31%
Beau Hossler
-
Mason Howell
-
Mark Hubbard
-
Mackenzie Hughes
28%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Texas Children's Houston Open winner market shows an ultra-tight race at the top, with Kyoung-Hoon Lee (43.7%) edging Michael Kim (43.6%) and Brian Campbell (39.3%) amid a logjam after Round 1 at Memorial Park Golf Course. These mid-tier contenders surged via hot starts—low 60s highlighted by birdie barrages and superior putting on the firm, fast greens—elevating their implied probabilities in the 156-player field. No dominant favorites emerged early, as wind-sheltered conditions favored aggressive play, while lurking big names like Wyndham Clark (36.3%) trail by 1-2 strokes. Historical data indicates first-round leaders convert at ~10%, underscoring weekend volatility from approach demands, fatigue, and potential weather shifts keeping odds bunched and the outcome wide open.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions