Oklahoma City Thunder's commanding 61-16 record and two-game Western Conference lead over the San Antonio Spurs position them as clear favorites at 37.5% implied probability, bolstered by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring and a dominant 139-96 rout of the Lakers on April 2. The Spurs' 59-18 mark and 11-game win streak, including a 118-99 victory over the Clippers even without Victor Wembanyama, fuel their 17.7% consensus amid a surging post-trade deadline roster. Boston Celtics hold 10.8% as East No. 2 seeds at 51-25, leveraging defending champion experience and a franchise-record 53-point first quarter in a blowout of Miami on April 1. Denver Nuggets' 49-28 standing and Jamal Murray's hot shooting sustain 8.5%, while a tight Eastern race with Pistons (56-21), Cavaliers (post-Harden trade), and Knicks keeps their probabilities clustered around 5%. With playoffs starting April 18, rest advantages and final-week matchups loom large.