Jannik Sinner's dominant Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Daniil Medvedev and Miami against Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set in the latter—has propelled his implied probability to 35%, closing the gap on world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at 38%, fresh off his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic that completed his career Grand Slam. This hard-court mastery keeps the top duo tightly bunched atop trader consensus for the hard-court US Open, while Lehecka's Miami final run elevates him to 7.2% amid his breakout form. Djokovic's right shoulder injury, prompting Miami and Monte Carlo withdrawals, caps him at 3.5%, underscoring the next generation's edge despite veterans' surface history.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCarlos Alcaraz 38%
Jannik Sinner 35%
Jiri Lehecka 7.2%
Novak Djokovic 3.5%
$1,019,892 Vol.
$1,019,892 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz
38%
Jannik Sinner
35%
Jiri Lehecka
7%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Arthur Fils
3%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
2%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 38%
Jannik Sinner 35%
Jiri Lehecka 7.2%
Novak Djokovic 3.5%
$1,019,892 Vol.
$1,019,892 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz
$3,652 Vol.
38%
Jannik Sinner
$3,593 Vol.
35%
Jiri Lehecka
$272,282 Vol.
7%
Novak Djokovic
$122,826 Vol.
3%
Alexander Zverev
$12,515 Vol.
3%
Arthur Fils
$11,363 Vol.
3%
Daniil Medvedev
$8,444 Vol.
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
$1,313 Vol.
2%
Joao Fonseca
$25,172 Vol.
2%
Jakub Mensik
$63,161 Vol.
2%
Jack Draper
$33,658 Vol.
1%
Ben Shelton
$38,307 Vol.
1%
Alexander Bublik
$20,573 Vol.
1%
Taylor Fritz
$8,968 Vol.
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
$246,278 Vol.
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
$140,846 Vol.
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
$845 Vol.
1%
Holger Rune
$787 Vol.
<1%
Andrey Rublev
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
$854 Vol.
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
$1,107 Vol.
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
$2,303 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner's dominant Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Daniil Medvedev and Miami against Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set in the latter—has propelled his implied probability to 35%, closing the gap on world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at 38%, fresh off his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic that completed his career Grand Slam. This hard-court mastery keeps the top duo tightly bunched atop trader consensus for the hard-court US Open, while Lehecka's Miami final run elevates him to 7.2% amid his breakout form. Djokovic's right shoulder injury, prompting Miami and Monte Carlo withdrawals, caps him at 3.5%, underscoring the next generation's edge despite veterans' surface history.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$1,019,892End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner's dominant Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Daniil Medvedev and Miami against Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set in the latter—has propelled his implied probability to 35%, closing the gap on world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at 38%, fresh off his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic that completed his career Grand Slam. This hard-court mastery keeps the top duo tightly bunched atop trader consensus for the hard-court US Open, while Lehecka's Miami final run elevates him to 7.2% amid his breakout form. Djokovic's right shoulder injury, prompting Miami and Monte Carlo withdrawals, caps him at 3.5%, underscoring the next generation's edge despite veterans' surface history.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,019,892End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's dominant Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Daniil Medvedev and Miami against Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set in the latter—has propelled his implied probability to 35%, closing the gap on world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at 38%, fresh off his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic that completed his career Grand Slam. This hard-court mastery keeps the top duo tightly bunched atop trader consensus for the hard-court US Open, while Lehecka's Miami final run elevates him to 7.2% amid his breakout form. Djokovic's right shoulder injury, prompting Miami and Monte Carlo withdrawals, caps him at 3.5%, underscoring the next generation's edge despite veterans' surface history.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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