Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 French Open at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking and unmatched clay-court pedigree including back-to-back Roland Garros titles, yet Jannik Sinner's blistering Sunshine Double—sweeping Indian Wells over Medvedev and Miami over Lehecka without dropping a set just last week—has tightened the race to 33.5%, signaling his peak momentum as ATP No. 2 entering Monte Carlo. This duopoly reflects their youth, form, and head-to-head rivalry, with Djokovic's recent shoulder injury and Monte Carlo withdrawal capping him at 3.4%, while Zverev's consistent clay depth supports his 4.1% share amid an open field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCarlos Alcaraz 41%
Jannik Sinner 34%
Alexander Zverev 4.1%
Novak Djokovic 3.4%
$1,765,447 Vol.
$1,765,447 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Jannik Sinner
34%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Casper Ruud
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 41%
Jannik Sinner 34%
Alexander Zverev 4.1%
Novak Djokovic 3.4%
$1,765,447 Vol.
$1,765,447 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz
$31,679 Vol.
41%
Jannik Sinner
$114,370 Vol.
34%
Alexander Zverev
$192,951 Vol.
4%
Novak Djokovic
$97,648 Vol.
3%
Casper Ruud
$15,983 Vol.
2%
Arthur Fils
$53,814 Vol.
2%
Joao Fonseca
$84,335 Vol.
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
$234,797 Vol.
1%
Jack Draper
$94,422 Vol.
1%
Andrey Rublev
$94,044 Vol.
1%
Daniil Medvedev
$92,236 Vol.
1%
Taylor Fritz
$11,924 Vol.
1%
Ben Shelton
$71,715 Vol.
1%
Jakub Mensik
$12,231 Vol.
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
$12,576 Vol.
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
$28,195 Vol.
1%
Alex De Minaur
$12,872 Vol.
1%
Tommy Paul
$19,566 Vol.
1%
Jiri Lehecka
$32,497 Vol.
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
$12,876 Vol.
1%
Learner Tien
$61,957 Vol.
1%
Sebastian Korda
$15,156 Vol.
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
$28,639 Vol.
<1%
Tomas Machac
$11,865 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Bublik
$12,310 Vol.
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
$13,853 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Norrie
$35,706 Vol.
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
$10,931 Vol.
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
$25,046 Vol.
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
$17,634 Vol.
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
$43,817 Vol.
<1%
Karen Khachanov
$10,238 Vol.
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
$34,892 Vol.
<1%
Marin Cilic
$10,105 Vol.
<1%
Alex Michelsen
$11,988 Vol.
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
$17,587 Vol.
<1%
Ugo Humbert
$38,578 Vol.
<1%
Reilly Opelka
$9,336 Vol.
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
$11,182 Vol.
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
$23,896 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 French Open at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking and unmatched clay-court pedigree including back-to-back Roland Garros titles, yet Jannik Sinner's blistering Sunshine Double—sweeping Indian Wells over Medvedev and Miami over Lehecka without dropping a set just last week—has tightened the race to 33.5%, signaling his peak momentum as ATP No. 2 entering Monte Carlo. This duopoly reflects their youth, form, and head-to-head rivalry, with Djokovic's recent shoulder injury and Monte Carlo withdrawal capping him at 3.4%, while Zverev's consistent clay depth supports his 4.1% share amid an open field.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$1,765,447End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 French Open at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking and unmatched clay-court pedigree including back-to-back Roland Garros titles, yet Jannik Sinner's blistering Sunshine Double—sweeping Indian Wells over Medvedev and Miami over Lehecka without dropping a set just last week—has tightened the race to 33.5%, signaling his peak momentum as ATP No. 2 entering Monte Carlo. This duopoly reflects their youth, form, and head-to-head rivalry, with Djokovic's recent shoulder injury and Monte Carlo withdrawal capping him at 3.4%, while Zverev's consistent clay depth supports his 4.1% share amid an open field.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,765,447End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 French Open at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking and unmatched clay-court pedigree including back-to-back Roland Garros titles, yet Jannik Sinner's blistering Sunshine Double—sweeping Indian Wells over Medvedev and Miami over Lehecka without dropping a set just last week—has tightened the race to 33.5%, signaling his peak momentum as ATP No. 2 entering Monte Carlo. This duopoly reflects their youth, form, and head-to-head rivalry, with Djokovic's recent shoulder injury and Monte Carlo withdrawal capping him at 3.4%, while Zverev's consistent clay depth supports his 4.1% share amid an open field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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