Carlos Alcaraz's implied 100% probability on Polymarket reflects his confirmed victory in the 2026 Australian Open men's singles final, where the world No. 1 top seed defeated 10-time champion Novak Djokovic 2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 on February 1 to complete the career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever at age 22. Trading consensus has fully priced in the official ATP result from Melbourne Park's hard courts, with no disputes or appeals reported since the trophy presentation. Grigor Dimitrov's negligible 0.1% share stems from his first-round exit to Tomas Machac. Post-tournament, only an extraordinary administrative reversal—such as a successful doping violation challenge against Alcaraz—could shift resolution, though none is pending.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGrigor Dimitrov <1%
$27,752,639 Vol.
$27,752,639 Vol.
Feb 1, 2026
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov <1%
$27,752,639 Vol.
$27,752,639 Vol.
Feb 1, 2026
Grigor Dimitrov
$955,580 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz's implied 100% probability on Polymarket reflects his confirmed victory in the 2026 Australian Open men's singles final, where the world No. 1 top seed defeated 10-time champion Novak Djokovic 2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 on February 1 to complete the career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever at age 22. Trading consensus has fully priced in the official ATP result from Melbourne Park's hard courts, with no disputes or appeals reported since the trophy presentation. Grigor Dimitrov's negligible 0.1% share stems from his first-round exit to Tomas Machac. Post-tournament, only an extraordinary administrative reversal—such as a successful doping violation challenge against Alcaraz—could shift resolution, though none is pending.
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$27,752,639End Date
Feb 1, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz's implied 100% probability on Polymarket reflects his confirmed victory in the 2026 Australian Open men's singles final, where the world No. 1 top seed defeated 10-time champion Novak Djokovic 2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 on February 1 to complete the career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever at age 22. Trading consensus has fully priced in the official ATP result from Melbourne Park's hard courts, with no disputes or appeals reported since the trophy presentation. Grigor Dimitrov's negligible 0.1% share stems from his first-round exit to Tomas Machac. Post-tournament, only an extraordinary administrative reversal—such as a successful doping violation challenge against Alcaraz—could shift resolution, though none is pending.
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,752,639End Date
Feb 1, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Carlos Alcaraz's implied 100% probability on Polymarket reflects his confirmed victory in the 2026 Australian Open men's singles final, where the world No. 1 top seed defeated 10-time champion Novak Djokovic 2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 on February 1 to complete the career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever at age 22. Trading consensus has fully priced in the official ATP result from Melbourne Park's hard courts, with no disputes or appeals reported since the trophy presentation. Grigor Dimitrov's negligible 0.1% share stems from his first-round exit to Tomas Machac. Post-tournament, only an extraordinary administrative reversal—such as a successful doping violation challenge against Alcaraz—could shift resolution, though none is pending.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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