Name: 2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?
Start: 2025-06-09T12:22:20.935868Z
End: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. 

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

Italy

Netherlands

Belgium

Croatia

Colombia

Uruguay

Saudi Arabia

Australia

Oman

Sweden

United Arab Emirates

Austria

Poland

Finland

Ukraine

Bolivia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Romania

Wales

Czechia

Denmark

DR Congo

Iraq

Ireland

Jamaica

New Caledonia

Suriname

Kosovo

North Macedonia

Northern Ireland

Slovakia

Turkey

Albania

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19. More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums). According to ESPN, there have been complaints about the summertime heat across America, causing FIFA to consider relocating the 2026 World Cup out of the United States.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. 

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one of the following clubs — Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, or Tottenham Hotspur — fails to qualify for any European (UEFA) football competition (UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, or UEFA Conference League) for the 2026-2027 European season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A club will be considered to have qualified for a UEFA competition if it earns entry into any stage of that competition for the 2026–27 season, including any qualifying round or play-off round. Qualification includes qualifying for any of the 2026-2027 UEFA competitions by winning a 2025-2026 UEFA competition.

If European qualification is not officially finalized by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the official determinations available at that time. If at least one of the clubs has not officially qualified for one of the three competitions by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins the 2026 College Football National Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the College Football National Championship based on the rules of the NCAA (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NCAA Football, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

The ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is scheduled to begin on February 7, 2026. Four of the twenty competing teams will advance through the group stage and Super 8 stage to reach the semifinals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed national team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or the tournament semifinalists are not definitively known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will India reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026).

If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).

Regions counted in World 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

This market will resolve according to the national team that finishes in second place (loses in the final) in the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish in second place in the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will India finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025 based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025 is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/soccer/league/_/name/caf.nations); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.


Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will LSU (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve according to the listed team/country that wins the gold medal for Men’s Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men’s Ice Hockey Olympic gold medal according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no gold medal for Men’s Ice Hockey awarded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who perform live and in person at the Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 music festival, currently expected to take place in April or May. Appearances during which the listed artist does not perform will not count towards the resolution of this market.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage and information from Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025–26 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A team will be considered to have made the Playoffs if it qualifies for the postseason bracket under the official rules of the NHL for the 2025–26 season. Qualification through any officially recognized NHL format (including Wild Card berths) will count.

If it becomes impossible for the listed team to qualify for the Playoffs based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. the team is mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the Minnesota Wild make the NHL Playoffs?

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most gold medals at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.

In the case of ties, the ordered list for most gold medals won will use most overall medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most gold medals won, and Norway wins more overall medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher.

This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the gold medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.

In the case of ties, the ordered list for most medals won will use most gold medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most medals won, and Norway wins more gold medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher.

This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

This market will resolve according to the listed team/country that wins the bronze medal for Men’s Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men’s Ice Hockey Olympic bronze medal according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no bronze medal for Men’s Ice Hockey awarded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the second most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.

In the case of ties, the ordered list for most medals won will use most gold medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most medals won, and Norway wins more gold medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher.

This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will China win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 French Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from French Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Serie A.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the second most gold medals at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.

In the case of ties, the ordered list for most gold medals won will use most overall medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most gold medals won, and Norway wins more overall medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher.

This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the gold medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

DR Congo
$940 Vol.
77%

Italy
$193,174 Vol.
65%

Iraq
$3 Vol.
61%

Turkey
$3,036 Vol.
50%

Denmark
$54 Vol.
44%

Poland
$255,505 Vol.
38%

Czechia
$1,502 Vol.
35%

Jamaica
$16 Vol.
33%

Bolivia
$158 Vol.
48%

Ukraine
$125,902 Vol.
32%

Slovakia
$250 Vol.
30%

Wales
$22 Vol.
27%

Sweden
$7,048 Vol.
24%

Ireland
$166 Vol.
17%

Kosovo
$3 Vol.
15%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
$171 Vol.
13%

Albania
$7 Vol.
11%

Romania
$110 Vol.
10%

Northern Ireland
$26 Vol.
9%

North Macedonia
$82 Vol.
8%

Suriname
$26 Vol.
24%

New Caledonia
$114 Vol.
4%

Market Context

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

Rules

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

Market Context

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

About

Related

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

DR Congo$940 Vol.77%Buy Yes94¢Buy No39¢

Italy$193,174 Vol.65%Buy Yes66¢Buy No36¢

Iraq$3 Vol.61%Buy Yes95¢Buy No74¢

Turkey$3,036 Vol.50%Buy Yes52¢Buy No52¢

Denmark$54 Vol.44%Buy Yes48¢Buy No60¢

Poland$255,505 Vol.38%Buy Yes40¢Buy No64¢

Czechia$1,502 Vol.35%Buy Yes40¢Buy No70¢

Jamaica$16 Vol.33%Buy Yes60¢Buy No95¢

Bolivia$158 Vol.48%Buy Yes64¢Buy No68¢

Ukraine$125,902 Vol.32%Buy Yes32¢Buy No69¢

Slovakia$250 Vol.30%Buy Yes35¢Buy No75¢

Wales$22 Vol.27%Buy Yes32¢Buy No78¢

Sweden$7,048 Vol.24%Buy Yes24¢Buy No77¢

Ireland$166 Vol.17%Buy Yes19¢Buy No86¢

Kosovo$3 Vol.15%Buy Yes17¢Buy No87¢

Bosnia and Herzegovina$171 Vol.13%Buy Yes17¢Buy No92¢

Albania$7 Vol.11%Buy Yes14¢Buy No93¢

Romania$110 Vol.10%Buy Yes13¢Buy No94¢

Northern Ireland$26 Vol.9%Buy Yes14¢Buy No96¢

North Macedonia$82 Vol.8%Buy Yes10¢Buy No95¢

Suriname$26 Vol.24%Buy Yes44¢Buy No97¢

New Caledonia$114 Vol.4%Buy Yes4.4¢Buy No97.0¢

Market Context

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

Rules

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

Market Context

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

About

Related

DR Congo
$940 Vol.
77%

Italy
$193,174 Vol.
65%

Iraq
$3 Vol.
61%

Turkey
$3,036 Vol.
50%

Denmark
$54 Vol.
44%

Poland
$255,505 Vol.
38%

Czechia
$1,502 Vol.
35%

Jamaica
$16 Vol.
33%

Bolivia
$158 Vol.
48%

Ukraine
$125,902 Vol.
32%

Slovakia
$250 Vol.
30%

Wales
$22 Vol.
27%

Sweden
$7,048 Vol.
24%

Ireland
$166 Vol.
17%

Kosovo
$3 Vol.
15%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
$171 Vol.
13%

Albania
$7 Vol.
11%

Romania
$110 Vol.
10%

Northern Ireland
$26 Vol.
9%

North Macedonia
$82 Vol.
8%

Suriname
$26 Vol.
24%

New Caledonia
$114 Vol.
4%