Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell 47%

Kimi Antonelli 31.6%

Charles Leclerc 5.3%

Oscar Piastri 4.2%

Polymarket

$72,754,874 Vol.

George Russell 47%

Kimi Antonelli 31.6%

Charles Leclerc 5.3%

Oscar Piastri 4.2%

Polymarket

$72,754,874 Vol.

George Russell

$1,374,383 Vol.

47%

Kimi Antonelli

$2,503,827 Vol.

32%

Charles Leclerc

$2,202,370 Vol.

5%

Oscar Piastri

$1,198,272 Vol.

4%

Lewis Hamilton

$2,762,633 Vol.

2%

Max Verstappen

$1,116,884 Vol.

2%

Lando Norris

$1,370,804 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$3,670,226 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$3,520,184 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$3,035,809 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$3,988,520 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$3,906,824 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$5,004,012 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$3,811,356 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$4,207,761 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$4,390,770 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$3,419,535 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$2,810,456 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$4,428,315 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$4,291,712 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$4,240,895 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$5,501,153 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 F1 season, with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli combining for three wins and multiple podiums across the Australian, Chinese, and Japanese Grands Prix, has concentrated trader consensus on their drivers' championship duel, pricing Russell at 46.5% implied probability ahead of Antonelli's 31.6%. Antonelli seized the points lead with his second victory at Suzuka on March 29, benefiting from a timely safety car and pit strategy to pull ahead of teammate Russell, who finished fourth amid undercut concerns but maintains a strong second overall. Russell's experience, including his Australian GP opener win and consistent podium threat, bolsters his favoritism in this intra-team battle, while Ferrari's Leclerc and Hamilton trail amid Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability edge over Red Bull and McLaren early on.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$72,754,874
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 F1 season, with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli combining for three wins and multiple podiums across the Australian, Chinese, and Japanese Grands Prix, has concentrated trader consensus on their drivers' championship duel, pricing Russell at 46.5% implied probability ahead of Antonelli's 31.6%. Antonelli seized the points lead with his second victory at Suzuka on March 29, benefiting from a timely safety car and pit strategy to pull ahead of teammate Russell, who finished fourth amid undercut concerns but maintains a strong second overall. Russell's experience, including his Australian GP opener win and consistent podium threat, bolsters his favoritism in this intra-team battle, while Ferrari's Leclerc and Hamilton trail amid Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability edge over Red Bull and McLaren early on.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$72,754,874
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Related

Market icon

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

79%
Market icon

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?

28%
Market icon

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

52%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 47%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $72.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "George Russell" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.