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icon for 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?

2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?

icon for 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?

2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?

$1,184,630 Vol.

Nov 15, 2022
Polymarket

$1,184,630 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Iowa - Michael Franken vs. Chuck Grassley

Iowa - Michael Franken vs. Chuck Grassley

$12,203 Vol.

Republican

icon for Florida - Val Demings vs. Marco Rubio

Florida - Val Demings vs. Marco Rubio

$9,165 Vol.

Republican

icon for Utah - Evan McMullin vs. Mike Lee

Utah - Evan McMullin vs. Mike Lee

$7,332 Vol.

Republican

icon for North Carolina - Cheri Beasley vs. Ted Budd

North Carolina - Cheri Beasley vs. Ted Budd

$29,575 Vol.

Republican

icon for Wisconsin - Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson

Wisconsin - Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson

$24,770 Vol.

Republican

icon for Ohio - Tim Ryan vs. J. D. Vance

Ohio - Tim Ryan vs. J. D. Vance

$48,601 Vol.

Republican

icon for Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt

Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt

$180,015 Vol.

Democrat

icon for Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz

Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz

$181,084 Vol.

Democrat

Georgia - Raphael Warnock vs. Herschel Walker

$329,025 Vol.

Democrat

Arizona - Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters

$256,628 Vol.

Democrat

icon for New Hampshire - Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc

New Hampshire - Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc

$47,770 Vol.

Democrat

icon for Washington - Patty Murray vs. Tiffany Smiley

Washington - Patty Murray vs. Tiffany Smiley

$7,494 Vol.

Democrat

icon for Colorado - Michael Bennet vs. Joe O'Dea

Colorado - Michael Bennet vs. Joe O'Dea

$43,442 Vol.

Democrat

icon for Vermont - Peter Welch vs. Gerald Malloy

Vermont - Peter Welch vs. Gerald Malloy

$7,526 Vol.

Democrat

This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Florida U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Florida U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Independent” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Utah U.S. Senate election is an Independent, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Utah U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. A candidate will be considered an Independent if they do not represent a party. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Republican party or is not an Independent, this market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 North Carolina U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 North Carolina U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Wisconsin U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Wisconsin U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50-50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Nevada U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Nevada U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 New Hampshire U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 New Hampshire U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Washington U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Washington U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Colorado U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Colorado U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Vermont U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Vermont U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.

This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50.

Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
Volume
$1,184,630
End Date
Nov 8, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Florida U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Florida U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Independent” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Utah U.S. Senate election is an Independent, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Utah U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. A candidate will be considered an Independent if they do not represent a party. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Republican party or is not an Independent, this market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 North Carolina U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 North Carolina U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Wisconsin U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Wisconsin U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50-50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Nevada U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Nevada U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 New Hampshire U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 New Hampshire U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Washington U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Washington U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Colorado U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Colorado U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Vermont U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Vermont U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.

This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50.

Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
Volume
$1,184,630
End Date
Nov 8, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt" at 100%, followed by "Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?" is "Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.